GttB of 2008 Part II: How much talent do we have?

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jim
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Re: GttB of 2008 Part II: How much talent do we have?

Post by jim »

If you have followed this thread you will be interested in VEB (http://www.vivaelbirdos.com) today. He ran some sims on projection data and came out with the Cardinals scoring 701 runs, over 30 fewer than last year. The old 10 runs ~ 1 win rule would seem to show that his projections would have the Cards as anywhere from a 71-75 win team if the pitching were the same, depending on your starting point.

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ghostrunner
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Re: GttB of 2008 Part II: How much talent do we have?

Post by ghostrunner »

jim wrote:If you have followed this thread you will be interested in VEB (http://www.vivaelbirdos.com) today. He ran some sims on projection data and came out with the Cardinals scoring 701 runs, over 30 fewer than last year. The old 10 runs ~ 1 win rule would seem to show that his projections would have the Cards as anywhere from a 71-75 win team if the pitching were the same, depending on your starting point.
Just wanted to mention that he came out with an update today - apparently he made an error and it should be 725 runs.

http://www.vivaelbirdos.com/story/2007/12/19/04312/846

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