4/17 GDT: Cardinals(Wainwright)@Cubs(Chatwood) 7:05 PM CT

Discuss all things Cardinals Baseball
Post Reply
Online
User avatar
CardsofSTL
All Hail the GDT Master
Posts: 47795
Joined: April 26 11, 6:06 am
Location: Columbus, OH

4/17 GDT: Cardinals(Wainwright)@Cubs(Chatwood) 7:05 PM CT

Post by CardsofSTL »

Image

Image

Image

Image

Image

Image

Image

Online
User avatar
CardsofSTL
All Hail the GDT Master
Posts: 47795
Joined: April 26 11, 6:06 am
Location: Columbus, OH

Re: 4/17 GDT: Cardinals(Wainwright)@Cubs(Chatwood) 7:05 PM C

Post by CardsofSTL »

Image

Online
User avatar
CardsofSTL
All Hail the GDT Master
Posts: 47795
Joined: April 26 11, 6:06 am
Location: Columbus, OH

Re: 4/17 GDT: Cardinals(Wainwright)@Cubs(Chatwood) 7:05 PM C

Post by CardsofSTL »

Image

Image

User avatar
JoeMcKim
Perennial All-Star
Posts: 9077
Joined: September 8 09, 10:56 pm
Location: South County, St. Louis

Re: 4/17 GDT: Cardinals(Wainwright)@Cubs(Chatwood) 7:05 PM C

Post by JoeMcKim »

This time of the year teams should play more 4 PM games so they can take advantage of the warmer part of the day. Granted this year is drastically colder then it usually is.

Online
User avatar
CardsofSTL
All Hail the GDT Master
Posts: 47795
Joined: April 26 11, 6:06 am
Location: Columbus, OH

Re: 4/17 GDT: Cardinals(Wainwright)@Cubs(Chatwood) 7:05 PM C

Post by CardsofSTL »

Given the unplanned off day Monday, the Cardinals initially announced they would keep their pitching assignments as scheduled. That shifted later in the day. Rather than start Adam Wainwright on Tuesday and Michael Wacha on Wednesday — in their announced order — the Cardinals decided to keep Luke Weaver in the Cubs series. He’ll start in Wacha’s place Wednesday. Wacha will move to Friday, when he’ll face the Cincinnati Reds at Busch Stadium. Wacha is 9-1 in his career with a 2.99 ERA in 17 games (15 starts) against the Reds, and he got the win this past Thursday with five innings vs. Cincy.

The one starter who didn’t get a chance to feast on Cincinnati’s pedestrian lineup was Wainwright. In his one start at Wrigley last season, Wainwright went 7 2/3 innings and allowed two runs – building on what’s been a career of success at the Friendly Confines. Wainwright is 10-2 with a 3.79 ERA in 23 games (18 starts) at the Cubs’ home. He’s coming off an assertive, seven-inning start against Milwaukee that was a catalyst for the strongest stretch thus far by the rotation. They have five quality starts in their past six games, and as a group they have a 2.37 ERA in the past week.
The Cubs, at 7-7, are still waiting for that run from their starters. Only Kyle Hendricks, whose start against the Cardinals was bumped by Monday’s postponement, has an ERA lower than 4.40. Hendricks is one of two Cubs starters to average more than five innings an appearance. The other, Tyler Chatwood, who was one of two free-agent starters the Cubs signed this offseason, has yet to win a game. After a chilly, sloppy game Saturday, the Cubs postponed their game Sunday against the Braves. Chatwood was set to start that game, then announced as Monday’s starter, and now will draw Tuesday.

The Cubs also plan to activate first baseman Anthony Rizzo from the disabled list, though the team will tread carefully with his sore back and frigid temps.

User avatar
Jocephus
99% conan clips
Posts: 63640
Joined: April 18 06, 5:14 pm

Re: 4/17 GDT: Cardinals(Wainwright)@Cubs(Chatwood) 7:05 PM C

Post by Jocephus »

The Chicago Cubs are 2-3 at home this season and the St. Louis Cardinals are 7-3 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Tyler Chatwood has a 32% chance of a QS and Adam Wainwright a 30% chance. If Tyler Chatwood has a quality start the Cubs has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.2 and he has a 15% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 52%. If Adam Wainwright has a quality start the Cardinals has a 67% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.8 and he has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 56%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Kris Bryant who averaged 2.63 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 60% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Tommy Pham who averaged 2.58 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 63% chance of winning.

User avatar
Hoot45
Perennial All-Star
Posts: 4008
Joined: October 8 14, 11:41 am

Re: 4/17 GDT: Cardinals(Wainwright)@Cubs(Chatwood) 7:05 PM C

Post by Hoot45 »

JoeMcKim wrote:This time of the year teams should play more 4 PM games so they can take advantage of the warmer part of the day. Granted this year is drastically colder then it usually is.
What ever happened with the weather yesterday? Is today that much better?

Online
User avatar
heyzeus
Everday Unicorn
Posts: 41333
Joined: April 21 06, 10:14 am
Location: Austin, TX
Contact:

Re: 4/17 GDT: Cardinals(Wainwright)@Cubs(Chatwood) 7:05 PM C

Post by heyzeus »

Jocephus wrote:
The Chicago Cubs are 2-3 at home this season and the St. Louis Cardinals are 7-3 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Tyler Chatwood has a 32% chance of a QS and Adam Wainwright a 30% chance. If Tyler Chatwood has a quality start the Cubs has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.2 and he has a 15% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 52%. If Adam Wainwright has a quality start the Cardinals has a 67% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.8 and he has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 56%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Kris Bryant who averaged 2.63 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 60% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Tommy Pham who averaged 2.58 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 63% chance of winning.
Gotta respect that A.S.S.

User avatar
MinorLeagueGuy
The Angst is Real
Posts: 18248
Joined: September 8 10, 2:57 pm

Re: 4/17 GDT: Cardinals(Wainwright)@Cubs(Chatwood) 7:05 PM C

Post by MinorLeagueGuy »

Given Adam's recent track record against Cinci I'm glad we got who we did and got that sweep. It would've been anti climatic to bust them over the head except for that one game where Adam got smoked.

User avatar
Big Amoco Sign
Master of Hyperbole
Posts: 14402
Joined: December 1 17, 11:05 am

Re: 4/17 GDT: Cardinals(Wainwright)@Cubs(Chatwood) 7:05 PM C

Post by Big Amoco Sign »

Chatwood blows against lefties.

I would sit JMart and put in Garcia AND Wong today. Get good defense for Wainwright anyways.

Post Reply