4/17 GDT: Cardinals(Wainwright)@Cubs(Chatwood) 7:05 PM CT
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- CardsofSTL
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- CardsofSTL
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- JoeMcKim
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Re: 4/17 GDT: Cardinals(Wainwright)@Cubs(Chatwood) 7:05 PM C
This time of the year teams should play more 4 PM games so they can take advantage of the warmer part of the day. Granted this year is drastically colder then it usually is.
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Re: 4/17 GDT: Cardinals(Wainwright)@Cubs(Chatwood) 7:05 PM C
Given the unplanned off day Monday, the Cardinals initially announced they would keep their pitching assignments as scheduled. That shifted later in the day. Rather than start Adam Wainwright on Tuesday and Michael Wacha on Wednesday — in their announced order — the Cardinals decided to keep Luke Weaver in the Cubs series. He’ll start in Wacha’s place Wednesday. Wacha will move to Friday, when he’ll face the Cincinnati Reds at Busch Stadium. Wacha is 9-1 in his career with a 2.99 ERA in 17 games (15 starts) against the Reds, and he got the win this past Thursday with five innings vs. Cincy.
The one starter who didn’t get a chance to feast on Cincinnati’s pedestrian lineup was Wainwright. In his one start at Wrigley last season, Wainwright went 7 2/3 innings and allowed two runs – building on what’s been a career of success at the Friendly Confines. Wainwright is 10-2 with a 3.79 ERA in 23 games (18 starts) at the Cubs’ home. He’s coming off an assertive, seven-inning start against Milwaukee that was a catalyst for the strongest stretch thus far by the rotation. They have five quality starts in their past six games, and as a group they have a 2.37 ERA in the past week.
The Cubs, at 7-7, are still waiting for that run from their starters. Only Kyle Hendricks, whose start against the Cardinals was bumped by Monday’s postponement, has an ERA lower than 4.40. Hendricks is one of two Cubs starters to average more than five innings an appearance. The other, Tyler Chatwood, who was one of two free-agent starters the Cubs signed this offseason, has yet to win a game. After a chilly, sloppy game Saturday, the Cubs postponed their game Sunday against the Braves. Chatwood was set to start that game, then announced as Monday’s starter, and now will draw Tuesday.
The Cubs also plan to activate first baseman Anthony Rizzo from the disabled list, though the team will tread carefully with his sore back and frigid temps.
- Jocephus
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Re: 4/17 GDT: Cardinals(Wainwright)@Cubs(Chatwood) 7:05 PM C
The Chicago Cubs are 2-3 at home this season and the St. Louis Cardinals are 7-3 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Tyler Chatwood has a 32% chance of a QS and Adam Wainwright a 30% chance. If Tyler Chatwood has a quality start the Cubs has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.2 and he has a 15% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 52%. If Adam Wainwright has a quality start the Cardinals has a 67% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.8 and he has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 56%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Kris Bryant who averaged 2.63 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 60% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Tommy Pham who averaged 2.58 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 63% chance of winning.
- Hoot45
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Re: 4/17 GDT: Cardinals(Wainwright)@Cubs(Chatwood) 7:05 PM C
What ever happened with the weather yesterday? Is today that much better?JoeMcKim wrote:This time of the year teams should play more 4 PM games so they can take advantage of the warmer part of the day. Granted this year is drastically colder then it usually is.
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Re: 4/17 GDT: Cardinals(Wainwright)@Cubs(Chatwood) 7:05 PM C
Gotta respect that A.S.S.Jocephus wrote:The Chicago Cubs are 2-3 at home this season and the St. Louis Cardinals are 7-3 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Tyler Chatwood has a 32% chance of a QS and Adam Wainwright a 30% chance. If Tyler Chatwood has a quality start the Cubs has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.2 and he has a 15% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 52%. If Adam Wainwright has a quality start the Cardinals has a 67% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.8 and he has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 56%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Kris Bryant who averaged 2.63 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 60% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Tommy Pham who averaged 2.58 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 46% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 63% chance of winning.
- MinorLeagueGuy
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Re: 4/17 GDT: Cardinals(Wainwright)@Cubs(Chatwood) 7:05 PM C
Given Adam's recent track record against Cinci I'm glad we got who we did and got that sweep. It would've been anti climatic to bust them over the head except for that one game where Adam got smoked.
- Big Amoco Sign
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Re: 4/17 GDT: Cardinals(Wainwright)@Cubs(Chatwood) 7:05 PM C
Chatwood blows against lefties.
I would sit JMart and put in Garcia AND Wong today. Get good defense for Wainwright anyways.
I would sit JMart and put in Garcia AND Wong today. Get good defense for Wainwright anyways.