What's your Harper Hunch?

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Radbird
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Re: What's your Harper Hunch?

Post by Radbird »

Are teams gun shy about a 10+ year contract? If so, will somebody cave or will Boras come down to the market?

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Re: What's your Harper Hunch?

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Radbird wrote:Are teams gun shy about a 10+ year contract? If so, will somebody cave or will Boras come down to the market?
I've been wondering the same thing.

It's going to be fascinating to see how it ends. As others have pointed out, a player of his caliber (and p.r. potential) hitting free agency at his age is almost unprecedented. Mega-deals never end well. Owners have to know that, but this is a little different.

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Re: What's your Harper Hunch?

Post by Big Amoco Sign »

I feel like the length being long isn't the issue. It all comes down to high AAV and early years and opt outs now. Slowly moving the direction the NBA has.

We knew Peralta and Fowler would suck in later years. You're paying for that player to help you win in the meantime and taking the penalty of low output/DFA'd early years as part of the overall costs. Sometimes the goal isn't always getting a Holliday value contract.

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Re: What's your Harper Hunch?

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1/50 STL 2/3/19

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MAGA
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Re: What's your Harper Hunch?

Post by MAGA »

Radbird wrote:Are teams gun shy about a 10+ year contract?
Of course. Doesn’t seem like anyone is jumping to give a 4 WAR player 10 years. The longer this goes on, I think the worse it is for Harper. Though history shows I’m mostly wrong.

No team wants to pay someone 30m for maybe 2-3 seasons for them to provide nothing. There’s more cost effective ways to get production without that sort of sunk cost. $100m in sunk cost doesn’t get you ahead.

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Re: What's your Harper Hunch?

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Radbird
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Re: What's your Harper Hunch?

Post by Radbird »

Hell, we could top that.

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Re: What's your Harper Hunch?

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Radbird wrote: Hell, we could top that.


5 years/?

Min $200mil

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Re: What's your Harper Hunch?

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9 years/$280m
Phillies

They trade him in two years to the Yankees

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Re: What's your Harper Hunch?

Post by jagtrader »

Socnorb11 wrote:
Radbird wrote:Are teams gun shy about a 10+ year contract? If so, will somebody cave or will Boras come down to the market?
I've been wondering the same thing.

It's going to be fascinating to see how it ends. As others have pointed out, a player of his caliber (and p.r. potential) hitting free agency at his age is almost unprecedented. Mega-deals never end well. Owners have to know that, but this is a little different.
Tulowitzki was the same age as Harper when he signed his 10-year contract. It was for half of what Harper will likely command. It was still a disaster.

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