I found an article pegging the odds of any safety happening in a game at 1 in 20 but I don't know if it's accurate. There was six safeties in Super Bowls before this one, or 1 in 7.5ish. Either way it would then need to be the first score of the game *and* you would have to pick the right team. So yeah, 50-1 is pretty low.
Joe Shlabotnik wrote:
Well, how many outcomes are their for that? Touchdown, field goal, safety right? 2 teams - 6 possible outcomes. Wonder what the odds were? Maybe this person covered them all and hit the jackpot.
The odds are usually structured to where this isn't a profitable strategy unless the longshot comes in, in which case you're better off just betting the longshot by itself and saving your money on the others.