GDT 8/10/10-Cardinals (García) at Reds (Cueto) 6:10 CDT

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Re: GDT 8/10/10-Cardinals (García) at Reds (Cueto) 6:10 CDT

Post by Leroy »

Seriously, does that thing just plug in what is known, but say essentially the same thing every time?

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Re: GDT 8/10/10-Cardinals (García) at Reds (Cueto) 6:10 CDT

Post by Secret Weapon »

Jocephus wrote:
The Cincinnati Reds are 33-24 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the St. Louis Cardinals who are 24-31 on the road this season. The Reds have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Reds' starter Johnny Cueto is forecasted to have a better game than Cardinals' starter Jaime Garcia. Johnny Cueto has a 54% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jaime Garcia has a 45% chance of a QS. If Johnny Cueto has a quality start the Reds has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.7 and he has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 60%. In Jaime Garcia quality starts the Cardinals win 62%. He has a 18% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Scott Rolen who averaged 2.4 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 68% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Jon Jay who averaged 2.37 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 57% chance of winning.
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Re: GDT 8/10/10-Cardinals (García) at Reds (Cueto) 6:10 CDT

Post by lukethedrifter »

You can always tell whether the Cards are winning by the length of the thread.

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Re: GDT 8/10/10-Cardinals (García) at Reds (Cueto) 6:10 CDT

Post by Swingingbunt »

The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Jon Jay
:?: Does...not...compute.

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Re: GDT 8/10/10-Cardinals (García) at Reds (Cueto) 6:10 CDT

Post by heyzeus »

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finally, a mate!

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Re: GDT 8/10/10-Cardinals (García) at Reds (Cueto) 6:10 CDT

Post by Fat Strat »

Swingingbunt wrote:
The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Jon Jay
:?: Does...not...compute.
Right now they're tied in OPS+ and draft history & MiLB stats suggest that Jay will outperform Pujols long term.



BTW, Pujols this month: .484 .500 .935 1.435

That's insane.

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Re: GDT 8/10/10-Cardinals (García) at Reds (Cueto) 6:10 CDT

Post by Magneto2.0 »

lukethedrifter wrote:You can always tell whether the Cards are winning by the length of the thread.

Depends. We usually have big threads when we lose. Last night, it was a big and we won. lol

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Re: GDT 8/10/10-Cardinals (García) at Reds (Cueto) 6:10 CDT

Post by Joe Shlabotnik »

Fat Strat wrote:
Swingingbunt wrote:
The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Jon Jay
:?: Does...not...compute.
Right now they're tied in OPS+ and draft history & MiLB stats suggest that Jay will outperform Pujols long term.



BTW, Pujols this month: .484 .500 .935 1.435

That's insane.
That's Albert Pujols.

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Re: GDT 8/10/10-Cardinals (García) at Reds (Cueto) 6:10 CDT

Post by vinsanity »

Joe Shlabotnik wrote:
Fat Strat wrote:BTW, Pujols this month: .484 .500 .935 1.435

That's insane.
That's Albert Pujols.
On Steroids.

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Re: GDT 8/10/10-Cardinals (García) at Reds (Cueto) 6:10 CDT

Post by heyzeus »

Fat Strat wrote:
Swingingbunt wrote:
The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Jon Jay
:?: Does...not...compute.
Right now they're tied in OPS+ and draft history & MiLB stats suggest that Jay will outperform Pujols long term.

BTW, Pujols this month: .484 .500 .935 1.435

That's insane.
Say what you will about the dude, Barry Bonds' 1.422 OPS in 2004 is insane in the mebrane.

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