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 Post subject: Re: 2020 Election
PostPosted: May 14 19, 10:06 am 
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ThatGuy wrote:
Elizabeth Warren's Twitter thread explaining her "hard pass" on participating in a Fox News town hall is glorious.


Her logic is flawless there. Fox is Hate-for-profit organization ftw


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 Post subject: Re: 2020 Election
PostPosted: May 14 19, 11:16 am 
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Poll of 595 people, 52% of them black, and Pete gets 0% of them.



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 Post subject: Re: 2020 Election
PostPosted: May 14 19, 12:51 pm 
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Mayor Pete peaked too early. Still 7 months away from anyone voting.

Biden still has the name recognition. That will fade some, but for many he’ll still be the “safe choice” when they don’t know enough about the others to differentiate. This is probably more significant than we want to think. I’m guessing a good chunk of Trump’s early support was huge name recognition compared to the other R candidates.

Booker is probably the best politician of the contenders. We shouldn’t underestimate that skill. He’s going to raise money, bank endorsements, and be able to frame arguments against his opponents that will grab low-information voters.

Bernie and Warren likely split up most of the high-information voters. Bernie will grab a few others with his personality and name recognition. I’m not certain where Warren picks up significantly more voters. Maybe she builds up some steam during the debates, where she should do well. But I see any defections from Biden and Booker’s camps going towards Harris or Sanders. Same with the current Pete/Beto supporters. I don’t see enough voters among the also-rans to build a winning percentage for Warren.

My current approximate odds:
Biden 1:3
Bernie 1:4
Harris 1:4
Warren 1:10
Booker 1:10
(Field) 1:20


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 Post subject: Re: 2020 Election
PostPosted: May 14 19, 7:55 pm 
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Beto should be running for senate vs Cornyn in TX he could win that race. He can't win the nom.

Booker should be focused on keeping his senate seat in NJ he can win that race. He can't win the nom.

Abrams should not enter, she should challenge Perdue for senate in GA she can win that race. She can't win the nom.

Bullock should run for senate in Montana v Daines, he could win that race. He can't win the nom.

Hickenlooper should be running v Gardner for senate in CO, he could win that race. He can't win the nom.

That's five candidates who could help flip five senate seats. That's how judges get approved, and it's also how "well we can't impeach because the Senate won't go for it" becomes "Yeah let's get this mothergrabber out of office now, he's a crook."


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 Post subject: Re: 2020 Election
PostPosted: May 14 19, 8:03 pm 
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There's someone in my head but it's not me
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Joined: April 18 06, 5:08 pm
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Location: Clowns to the left of me. Jokers to the right. Here I am.
Some clean up needed. Racist and homophobic posts are not allowed.

Thanks for the report.


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 Post subject: Re: 2020 Election
PostPosted: May 14 19, 8:43 pm 
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Popeye_Card wrote:
I’m not certain where Warren picks up significantly more voters.


More time on the ground in IA and NH and SC, those early states, and more time on TV in debates and town halls, and I think she'll do very well with educated voters, particularly educated female voters, and women with education and families esp.


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 Post subject: Re: 2020 Election
PostPosted: May 14 19, 10:12 pm 
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A Facebook post that I posted today:

Image


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 Post subject: Re: 2020 Election
PostPosted: May 15 19, 1:20 am 
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Joined: March 25 15, 9:59 am
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Location: Charleston, SC via Arkansas
Wait. Bill Weld is a liberal now?


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 Post subject: Re: 2020 Election
PostPosted: May 15 19, 5:42 am 
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So for what reasons do we think Pete is getting ZERO percent of the black vote?


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 Post subject: Re: 2020 Election
PostPosted: May 15 19, 6:53 am 
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Joined: July 15 08, 8:24 pm
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A post from one of the Democratic party people who I use as my gauge in the presidential race, for the Iowa caucuses at least. This person was gung ho on Mayor Pete as of like a week ago:

Quote:
I'm going back to neutral on the presidential race. I like Pete Buttigieg a lot but Cory Booker and Elizabeth Warren are turning my head. He isn't being as bold as I would like to see on issues that are important to me. He offered a statement on last week's school shooting where he offered his "prayers". I can't even with politicians who offer prayers instead of policy.

Also, he isn't putting enough time and money into Iowa as he needs to if he wants to win.

I like him a lot, but others are impressing me more at the moment.


Pete's gonna fade


Last edited by pioneer98 on May 15 19, 6:57 am, edited 1 time in total.

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