Fat Strat wrote:
I think Lynn's actually closer to 90% Curve and FB with 70% of that being fastball. He throws both a 4 and 2 seamer though so in reality 2 different pitches are accounting for that 70%. I don't think he'll have trouble going forward with his repertoire even if his slider doesn't develop any more.
Did the math -- 87.6% 4-seam, 2-seam, and curve. How awesome is Fangraphs? All that data right there at our fingertips.
Going forward as a mid-rotation guy, I agree that he won't have trouble. He's there now. But, in order for him to progress into a #2 -- and no scout thought he had that potential coming into the league -- I think he needs that other pitch. The thing that give me confidence that could happen is the Card's ability to teach the cutter. An 87 mph cutter to go along with that 93 mph FB and you have Chris Carpenter.
Seriously, that's exactly what Carpenter threw in his peak years. He had tons of command that Lynn probably won't develop, but the repertoire would be very similar. So, Carpenter without the elite command and without the dominant cutter... that's a #2 starter.
Right, fangraphs is teh awesome.
No scout saw him as a top or even middle of the rotation guy because he was throwing the 2 seam only until he hit AAA and it sat around 89-91 mph (where it still is), but once you add that 4 seamer at 95 mph then you're essentially changing the type of pitcher he is. He's able to over power people and isn't a Brad Thompson wannabe.
That's not to say he couldn't benefit from a cutter....just that I don't want to look at what scouts said 2 years ago and compare that to the pitcher he is now as he is a different pitcher....adding a 95 mph heater has a way of changing a guy
Yeah, cuz you and Jenny just didn't have it. Me and Jenny. We got it. I can unlock her defense with a well-timed through ball and a towering header.