8/9 GDT: Pirates(Archer) vs Cardinals(Hudson) 7:15 PM CT

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CardsofSTL
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8/9 GDT: Pirates(Archer) vs Cardinals(Hudson) 7:15 PM CT

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Pirates vs Cardinals
7:15 PM CT - August 9, 2019
Busch Stadium - St. Louis
Watch: FSMW/ATT SportsNet-PIT

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CardsofSTL
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Re: 8/9 GDT: Pirates(Archer) vs Cardinals(Hudson) 7:15 PM CT

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Re: 8/9 GDT: Pirates(Archer) vs Cardinals(Hudson) 7:15 PM CT

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Re: 8/9 GDT: Pirates(Archer) vs Cardinals(Hudson) 7:15 PM CT

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MinorLeagueGuy
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Re: 8/9 GDT: Pirates(Archer) vs Cardinals(Hudson) 7:15 PM CT

Post by MinorLeagueGuy »

Please destroy Archer.

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Re: 8/9 GDT: Pirates(Archer) vs Cardinals(Hudson) 7:15 PM CT

Post by heyzeus »

Archer has been so, so bad this year. That Austin Meadows/Glasnow for Archer trade is just...man. Ow. Sorry, Pirates fan posters that hang out here.

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Re: 8/9 GDT: Pirates(Archer) vs Cardinals(Hudson) 7:15 PM CT

Post by Jocephus »

The St. Louis Cardinals are 31-23 at home this season and the Pittsburgh Pirates are 24-34 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Dakota Hudson has a 32% chance of a QS and Chris Archer a 31% chance. If Dakota Hudson has a quality start the Cardinals has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.5 and he has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 61%. If Chris Archer has a quality start the Pirates has a 62% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.9 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 51%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Paul Goldschmidt who averaged 2.46 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 66% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Bryan Reynolds who averaged 2.55 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 58% chance of winning.

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Re: 8/9 GDT: Pirates(Archer) vs Cardinals(Hudson) 7:15 PM CT

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That's [expletive], A.S.S.

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Re: 8/9 GDT: Pirates(Archer) vs Cardinals(Hudson) 7:15 PM CT

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I hope we don't lose.

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Re: 8/9 GDT: Pirates(Archer) vs Cardinals(Hudson) 7:15 PM CT

Post by Big Amoco Sign »

heyzeus wrote:Archer has been so, so bad this year. That Austin Meadows/Glasnow for Archer trade is just...man. Ow. Sorry, Pirates fan posters that hang out here.
Never trade with the Rays.

Silverman is a shrewd Harvard banker and Neander is a former BIS baseball math nerd.

Can't DeWitt offer these guys like 200k more a year and get them to the Cardinals? We need a totally fresh new approach. In fact, hire everyone Luhnow took back here. Surely we can pay Sid Mejdal more than what the Orioles pay him.

One of the big things DeWitt prides himself for, as an owner, is his revamping and restructuring of the Cardinals farm system. Yet we haven't had much recent success down there...doesn't he want to fix that? More to the point: where's his urgency? [expletive] steal away some of these Astros and Rays twerps already!

Hire twenty people who will just grind out neural network algorithms on Clojure and R all day on high school and college players and have them in the war room. Do something.

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