planet pujolsian wrote:
Time for my questions regarding potential keepers for next year:
- Do you guys think Jose Bautista is worthy of a keeper slot? I don't see him repeating his 40+ homer campaign next year (sort of like Ludwick's breakout in 2008), but he could manage 25-30 HR next year I think.
- Would you consider Neil Walker to be a keeper? He's only 24, with a .840 OPS from 2B in a hair over 300 PA.
- Should I go ahead and drop Strasburg since he's going to be out the entire year for TJ? Yes he dominated the league when he started, and I'm sure he'll dominate it once he returns, but I don't know that I really want to stash him on my roster as a keeper for an entire year knowing he won't be playing at all.
Thoughts? I already have a few no brainer keepers... McCann, Tulo, Pedroia and Waino. Reynolds is a possibility, as well as potential guys like Soria and Bailey, and then there are these guys.
I'd keep Reynolds over all three of those guys. I'd make Bautista my 6th keeper and call it a day. Beware of the sophomore slump/limited # of plate appearances/on the Pirates on Walker. I'd drop Strasburg too since he's useless next year.
My question, I mistakenly kept Zobrist this year. Was he a flash in the pan?
Yeah, I must admit that I didn't do my initial digging into Walker's sparkly OPS in limited action - there was an article posted on Fangraphs a couple days ago that shed some light and basically answered my question for me. He's got an unsustainable BABIP, not walking much, and striking out a lot, so he's definitely due for some regression. Hopefully it will happen next year and not this year. So he's definitely not gonna be a keeper for me.
As for Zobrist, do you consider him to be one of the top 15-20 offensive 2B (since he'll be eligible there again in 2011). He's down this year, but managed 12 HR in a little over 200 PA in 2008, and obviously the monster year last year. Plus he plays half of his games in Tampa, so it will help his offensive numbers versus playing in someplace like PETCO. I'd still think he's worthy of a keeper slot, although I don't know if I'd make him one of your top 2 or 3. Maybe make him #5 or #6 to make sure you get your absolute definites in first (i.e. Lee, Pujols, Mauer).