9/6 GDT: Cardinals(Mikolas)@Pirates(McRae) 6PMCT

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CardsofSTL
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9/6 GDT: Cardinals(Mikolas)@Pirates(McRae) 6PMCT

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Cardinals @ Pirates
6:05 PM CT - September 6, 2019
PNC Park - Pittsburgh
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CardsofSTL
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Re: 9/6 GDT: Cardinals(Mikolas)@Pirates(Musgrove) 6PMCT

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Re: 9/6 GDT: Cardinals(Mikolas)@Pirates(Musgrove) 6PMCT

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Re: 9/6 GDT: Cardinals(Mikolas)@Pirates(Musgrove) 6PMCT

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Joe Shlabotnik
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Re: 9/6 GDT: Cardinals(Mikolas)@Pirates(Musgrove) 6PMCT

Post by Joe Shlabotnik »

Playoff magic number is 17 with 22 to go. The team to beat is the Diamondbacks.*

*Not celebratory in nature - presented for informational purposes only. No baseball god has been affronted or disturbed. They only read topic titles anyway.
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Re: 9/6 GDT: Cardinals(Mikolas)@Pirates(Musgrove) 6PMCT

Post by Cardinals_Spaceship »

Joe Shlabotnik wrote:Playoff magic number is 17 with 22 to go. The team to beat is the Diamondbacks.*

*Not celebratory in nature - presented for informational purposes only. No baseball god has been affronted or disturbed. They only read topic titles anyway.
Agreed, the Dbacks are the only team realistically left in the wild card race. The Brewers and Phillies are hanging on by a thread. The dark horse team could be the Mets. It’s unlikely but apparently they have a relatively easy schedule remaining and with that starting rotation they could roll off some wins.
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Re: 9/6 GDT: Cardinals(Mikolas)@Pirates(Musgrove) 6PMCT

Post by heyzeus »

Sure seems like we play the Pirates every week.
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Re: 9/6 GDT: Cardinals(Mikolas)@Pirates(Musgrove) 6PMCT

Post by dmarx114 »

Would be nice to be 3.5 up on the Cubs by Sunday night.
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Re: 9/6 GDT: Cardinals(Mikolas)@Pirates(Musgrove) 6PMCT

Post by JS04 »

Cardinals_Spaceship wrote:
Joe Shlabotnik wrote:Playoff magic number is 17 with 22 to go. The team to beat is the Diamondbacks.*

*Not celebratory in nature - presented for informational purposes only. No baseball god has been affronted or disturbed. They only read topic titles anyway.
Agreed, the Dbacks are the only team realistically left in the wild card race. The Brewers and Phillies are hanging on by a thread. The dark horse team could be the Mets. It’s unlikely but apparently they have a relatively easy schedule remaining and with that starting rotation they could roll off some wins.
The Mets do not have an easy schedule.

Phillies
Dbacks
Dodgers
Rockies
Reds
Marlins
Braves

I wouldn’t consider that easy by any means.
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Re: 9/6 GDT: Cardinals(Mikolas)@Pirates(Musgrove) 6PMCT

Post by Jocephus »

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 30-38 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the St. Louis Cardinals who are 33-35 on the road this season. The Pirates have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Pirates\' starter Joe Musgrove is forecasted to have a better game than Cardinals\' starter Miles Mikolas. Joe Musgrove has a 38% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Miles Mikolas has a 29% chance of a QS. If Joe Musgrove has a quality start the Pirates has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.9 and he has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 60%. In Miles Mikolas quality starts the Cardinals win 63%. He has a 37% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Josh Bell who averaged 2.48 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 66% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Marcell Ozuna who averaged 2.42 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 62% chance of winning.
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