9/4 GDT: Cardinals(Flaherty)@Cubs(Darvish) 7:15 PM CT

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CardsofSTL
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9/4 GDT: Cardinals(Flaherty)@Cubs(Darvish) 7:15 PM CT

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Cardinals @ Cubs
7:15 PM CT - September 4, 2020
Wrigley Field - Chicago, IL
Cardinals Broadcasts: FSMW or KMOX 1120
Cubs Broadcasts: Marquee Sports Network or 670 The Score

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CardsofSTL
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Re: 9/4 GDT: Cardinals(Flaherty)@Cubs(Darvish) 7:15 PM CT

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Re: 9/4 GDT: Cardinals(Flaherty)@Cubs(Darvish) 7:15 PM CT

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Re: 9/4 GDT: Cardinals(Flaherty)@Cubs(Darvish) 7:15 PM CT

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Tonight's game will open a five-game series at Wrigley Field. The division-leading Cubs (22-15) hold a 3 1/2-game lead over the Cardinals (14-14) and they are 3-2 against them this season.

Both teams will be looking for more offensive depth.

Among Cubs regulars, only Ian Happ, Jason Heyward and Victor Caratini are hitting better than .240. And Happ suffered a facial contusion during Thursday's 6-2 loss to the Pittsburgh Pirates after fouling a ball back into his face.

The Cardinals scored 30 runs while winning three straight games before their 4-3 road loss to the Cincinnati Reds on Wednesday.

With veteran outfielder Dexter Fowler sidelined by a stomach ailment, the Cardinals need production from outfielders Harrison Bader (hitting .196), Tyler O'Neill (.178), Dylan Carlson (.176) and Lane Thomas (1-for-12).

The Cardinals have high hopes for Carlson, their top offensive prospect. But he has struggled against the changeups and curveballs he has seen since his promotion.

"It's like major league baseball got together and said, 'We're going to throw this guy nothing but breaking balls.' Pitched him tougher than anybody in the league," Shildt said.

The Cubs are also looking for better starting pitching. Their rotation had a 2.55 ERA in the first 16 games, then a 5.42 ERA in their next 21 games.

They will start Yu Darvish (6-1, 1.47 ERA) Friday. He held the Cardinals to one run on eight hits in six innings of a 6-3 victory on Aug. 18. Darvish is 1-2 with a 3.56 ERA in five career starts against the Cardinals.

Paul Goldschmidt (8-for-22, double, homer, three RBI), Kolten Wong (4-for-8) and Tommy Edman (4-for-10) have hit Darvish well while Brad Miller (1-for-16) and Paul DeJong (1-for-9) have not.

The Cardinals will counter with Jack Flaherty (2-0, 1.93), who worked just 1 2/3 innings in his only outing against the Cubs this season. He is 3-2 with a 2.79 ERA in 11 appearances against them.


Cub slugger Anthony Rizzo (9-for-19, three homers, six RBI) has worked over Flaherty in his career, but Jason Heyward (1-for-17), Javier Baez (1-for-13 eight strikeouts) and Kris Bryant (2-for-18, 10 strikeouts) have struggled against him.


The Cubs acquired outfielder Jose Martinez, a former Cardinal, from the Tampa Bay Rays before the deadline. Martinez will experience this Cubs-Cardinals rivalry from the other side.

"A lot of good friends over there," Martinez said. "But now it's about competing, and now I'm with a different organization. It's going to be fun because I've played over there, too, and I'm here now. So I can feel how it is on both sides."

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Re: 9/4 GDT: Cardinals(Flaherty)@Cubs(Darvish) 7:15 PM CT

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As great of an on-field impact that Wainwright has had in his 15 seasons with the Cardinals, the work he has done off the field is what he hopes will be his most lasting legacy. For the second consecutive year and the fifth time in his career, the veteran pitcher has been selected as the Cardinals’ nominee for the Roberto Clemente Award this season. Wainwright was selected in recognition of his charity work, which includes his foundation, Big League Impact, that he and his brother, Trey, founded in 2013. The foundation’s mission is to provide basic resources, including food, clean water, medical care and shelter, to those in need around the globe. Wainwright works with other MLB players to bring their charity aspirations to life, too.

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Re: 9/4 GDT: Cardinals(Flaherty)@Cubs(Darvish) 7:15 PM CT

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Re: 9/4 GDT: Cardinals(Flaherty)@Cubs(Darvish) 7:15 PM CT

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I directly blame the Cubs for everything that has happened since November 2016.

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Re: 9/4 GDT: Cardinals(Flaherty)@Cubs(Darvish) 7:15 PM CT

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The Chicago Cubs are 10-8 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the St. Louis Cardinals who are 6-5 on the road this season. The Cubs have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cubs\' starter Yu Darvish is forecasted to have a better game than Cardinals\' starter Jack Flaherty. Yu Darvish has a 51% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jack Flaherty has a 31% chance of a QS. If Yu Darvish has a quality start the Cubs has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.3 and he has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 63%. In Jack Flaherty quality starts the Cardinals win 66%. He has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 66% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Anthony Rizzo who averaged 2.52 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Paul Goldschmidt who averaged 2.82 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 51% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 50% chance of winning.

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Re: 9/4 GDT: Cardinals(Flaherty)@Cubs(Darvish) 7:15 PM CT

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I'm not a fan of that A.S.S.

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Re: 9/4 GDT: Cardinals(Flaherty)@Cubs(Darvish) 7:15 PM CT

Post by pioneer98 »

Kinda meaningless in such a small sample size but the Cardinals have a better run differential than the Cubs despite playing 9 fewer games

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