Mikolas, Kim Injuries Put Cardinals’ Shaky Rotation in Spotlight

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Jocephus
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Mikolas, Kim Injuries Put Cardinals’ Shaky Rotation in Spotlight

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by Jay Jaffe
March 17, 2021
https://blogs.fangraphs.com/mikolas-kim ... spotlight/
It’s a race that currently means nothing because it hasn’t actually begun, but at this writing, the Brewers have inched ahead of the Cardinals in our projected NL Central standings, albeit by a whopping 1.3 wins, 82.1 to 80.9. It’s the kind of thing that happens as we tweak the playing time inputs based upon spring training-related news and updated assumptions, but it’s a reminder that the gap between the two teams — or really, the Central’s top four, including the Cubs (projected for 79.5 wins) and Reds (78.1 wins) — is very small. Any edge could be the difference between snagging a division title or sitting at home in October, particularly given the unlikelihood of the division generating a Wild Card participant.

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CardsofSTL
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Re: Mikolas, Kim Injuries Put Cardinals’ Shaky Rotation in Spotlight

Post by CardsofSTL »

I'm not very bullish on the Brewers. I think they finish 3rd behind the Cardinals and Cubs this year.

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Re: Mikolas, Kim Injuries Put Cardinals’ Shaky Rotation in Spotlight

Post by dmarx114 »

I think some combination of Gant, Ponce, Oviedo, and Woodford can hold down the fort.

Our bullpen will be the strength of the staff anyway. We don't need our starters going 7+ every day.

Just once or twice through the rotation, lol.

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Re: Mikolas, Kim Injuries Put Cardinals’ Shaky Rotation in Spotlight

Post by InvincibleCakeEater »

I’ve been barking about this for awhile, but Porcello makes all the sense in the world.

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Re: Mikolas, Kim Injuries Put Cardinals’ Shaky Rotation in Spotlight

Post by Fat_Bulldog »

I am not sold on Ponce, Oviedo, Woodford or Martinez.

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Re: Mikolas, Kim Injuries Put Cardinals’ Shaky Rotation in Spotlight

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Jocephus
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Re: Mikolas, Kim Injuries Put Cardinals’ Shaky Rotation in Spotlight

Post by Jocephus »

Todd Bonzalez: Reds win a series against the Cardinals 2-1 and their playoff odds go up 12%? What’s with the volatility? Is the central *THAT* close?
Ben Clemens: A lot of that is that we changed the Cards’ IP projections to account for injuries and it made them a lot weaker
Ben Clemens: They’ve lost 2.6 games of projected wins on a 1-2 start, that’s hard to do

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