4/11 GDT: Brewers(Anderson) vs Cardinals(Ponce de Leon) 1:15 PM CT

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CardsofSTL
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4/11 GDT: Brewers(Anderson) vs Cardinals(Ponce de Leon) 1:15 PM CT

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Brewers vs Cardinals
1:15 PM CT - April 11, 2021
Busch Stadium - St. Louis, MO
Listen: Cardinals - KMOX 1120/Brewers - WTMJ 620
Watch: Cardinals - BSMW/Brewers - BSWI

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CardsofSTL
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Re: 4/11 GDT: Brewers(Anderson) vs Cardinals(Ponce de Leon) 1:15 PM CT

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Re: 4/11 GDT: Brewers(Anderson) vs Cardinals(Ponce de Leon) 1:15 PM CT

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Probably a fun lineup today since Hulk's groin is probably still jacked.

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Re: 4/11 GDT: Brewers(Anderson) vs Cardinals(Ponce de Leon) 1:15 PM CT

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The St. Louis Cardinals are 1-1 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Milwaukee Brewers who are 3-2 on the road this season. The Cardinals have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cardinals\' starter Daniel Poncedeleon is forecasted to have a better game than Brewers\' starter Brett Anderson. Daniel Poncedeleon has a 33% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Brett Anderson has a 23% chance of a QS. If Daniel Poncedeleon has a quality start the Cardinals has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.8 and he has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 72%. In Brett Anderson quality starts the Brewers win 56%. He has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 56% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Nolan Arenado who averaged 3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 53% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Ryan Braun who averaged 2.57 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 47% chance of winning.

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Re: 4/11 GDT: Brewers(Anderson) vs Cardinals(Ponce de Leon) 1:15 PM CT

Post by sighyoung »

Jocephus wrote:
April 11 21, 8:51 am
The St. Louis Cardinals are 1-1 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Milwaukee Brewers who are 3-2 on the road this season. The Cardinals have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cardinals\' starter Daniel Poncedeleon is forecasted to have a better game than Brewers\' starter Brett Anderson. Daniel Poncedeleon has a 33% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Brett Anderson has a 23% chance of a QS. If Daniel Poncedeleon has a quality start the Cardinals has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.8 and he has a 19% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 72%. In Brett Anderson quality starts the Brewers win 56%. He has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 56% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Nolan Arenado who averaged 3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 53% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Ryan Braun who averaged 2.57 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 47% chance of winning.
According to the A.S.S., the key to the game is Ponce de Leon keeping Ryan Braun off the base paths.

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Re: 4/11 GDT: Brewers(Anderson) vs Cardinals(Ponce de Leon) 1:15 PM CT

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That A.S.S. isn't even paying attention to the season.

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Re: 4/11 GDT: Brewers(Anderson) vs Cardinals(Ponce de Leon) 1:15 PM CT

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There's a 33% chance we have an 80% chance to win. That'll do A.S.S.

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Re: 4/11 GDT: Brewers(Anderson) vs Cardinals(Ponce de Leon) 1:15 PM CT

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Lorenzo Cain (R) CF
Daniel Vogelbach (L) 1B
Christian Yelich (L) LF
Avisail Garcia (R) RF
Travis Shaw (L) 3B
Manny Pina (R) C
Jace Peterson (L) 2B
Luis Urias (R) SS
Brett Anderson (L) P

Tommy Edman (S) 2B
Paul Goldschmidt (R) 1B
Nolan Arenado (R) 3B
Yadier Molina (R) C
Paul DeJong (R) SS
Dylan Carlson (S) RF
Austin Dean (R) LF
Lane Thomas (R) CF
Daniel Ponce de Leon (R) P

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Re: 4/11 GDT: Brewers(Anderson) vs Cardinals(Ponce de Leon) 1:15 PM CT

Post by InvincibleCakeEater »

Is it possible to score negative runs?

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Re: 4/11 GDT: Brewers(Anderson) vs Cardinals(Ponce de Leon) 1:15 PM CT

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Over/under on strikeouts for this offense. We could easily surpass 10.

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