4/17 GDT: Cardinals(Kim)@Phillies(Moore) 3:05 PM CT

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CardsofSTL
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4/17 GDT: Cardinals(Kim)@Phillies(Moore) 3:05 PM CT

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Cardinals @ Phillies
3:05 PM CT - April 17, 2021
Citizens Bank Park - Philadelphia, PA
Watch: Cardinals - BSMW/Phillies - NBCSP
Listen: Cardinals - KMOX 1120/Phillies - WTTM 1680

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CardsofSTL
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Re: 4/17 GDT: Cardinals(Kim)@Phillies(Moore) 3:05 PM CT

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Re: 4/17 GDT: Cardinals(Kim)@Phillies(Moore) 3:05 PM CT

Post by CardsofSTL »

Carlos Martínez will eventually get another victory as a starter.

Sure, the statistical significance of a win for pitchers is up for debate, but in Martínez’s case, it could be indicative of a job well done. He hasn’t won a game as a starter since July 7, 2018, against the Giants, so he took the mound on Friday night hoping to snap the streak.

The wait continues.

Martínez was charged with six runs on five hits in five innings in St. Louis’ 9-2 loss to the Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. He walked two and struck out five in the 81-pitch outing.

The results should surprise no one when you consider Martínez’s pitching line. But what happened to him is just as important as what he did or didn’t do.

“It was just bad luck,” Martínez repeated several times after the game.

He had a point. When you add his lack of execution in the eventful second inning and a couple of bad breaks, it’s easy to see why he considered his outing both frustrating and pleasing.

Essentially one bad inning ruined Martínez’s chances of returning to the win column. Ultimately, how he solves the one bad inning that sometimes plagues him will help determine his fate in 2021.
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Cardinals left-hander Kwang Hyun Kim will his make his highly anticipated 2021 debut with his start against the Phillies on Saturday at Citizens Bank Park.

The club has been careful with Kim since he experienced back tightness last month.

“He’s a full-go, otherwise we would not have put him in the rotation,” manager Mike Shildt said. “He threw a really good bullpen [Thursday] and there are a lot of positive things coming out with KK. He’s ready to rock and roll, and we are excited to see him pitch tomorrow.”

The Cardinals signed Kim prior to the 2020 season to a two-year, $8 million deal after he spent a dozen seasons pitching for SK Wyverns in Korea. He started last season as the closer and made himself an important part of the rotation after sporting a 1.62 ERA in eight games (seven starts).

One thing he hasn’t done is hit. Kim has only three career plate appearances as a professional, the last of which came in 2010 in Korea.

“I’m not really a good hitter right now,” Kim said through his interpreter. “But when I hit it, it goes to the outfield. I feel good with it. My teammates actually clap.”
• The Cardinals’ taxi squad is made up of right-handed pitchers Seth Elledge, Angel Rondon and Jake Woodford, catcher Ali Sanchez, and infielder José Rondón.

• Miles Mikolas, who has been slowed by shoulder soreness, threw what Shildt described as “an aggressive bullpen” and recovered favorably.

• Harrison Bader, who has been dealing with a sore right forearm that dates to March, is 10-14 days from resuming full baseball activity, the manager said. Bader his hitting off the tee and tracking pitches. He is also throwing up to 220 feet and beyond.

• Tommy Edman hit a first-pitch single in the top of the first inning to extend his hitting streak to 11 games. He later made a nice catch at the wall to rob Bryce Harper of a hit in the bottom of the frame.
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CardsofSTL
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Re: 4/17 GDT: Cardinals(Kim)@Phillies(Moore) 3:05 PM CT

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I hope KK is healthy and ready to roll.

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Re: 4/17 GDT: Cardinals(Kim)@Phillies(Moore) 3:05 PM CT

Post by Jocephus »

The St. Louis Cardinals are 4-3 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Philadelphia Phillies who are 6-1 at home. The Cardinals have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cardinals\' starter Kwang Hyun Kim is forecasted to have a better game than Phillies\' starter Matt Moore. Kwang Hyun Kim has a 25% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Matt Moore has a 15% chance of a QS. If Kwang Hyun Kim has a quality start the Cardinals has a 78% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 69%. In Matt Moore quality starts the Phillies win 65%. He has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 65% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Bryce Harper who averaged 2.58 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 50% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Kwang Hyun Kim who averaged 3.68 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 81% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 69% chance of winning.

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CardsofSTL
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Re: 4/17 GDT: Cardinals(Kim)@Phillies(Moore) 3:05 PM CT

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I'm an A.S.S. man and this is a nice one

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Re: 4/17 GDT: Cardinals(Kim)@Phillies(Moore) 3:05 PM CT

Post by GeddyWrox »

Matt Moore has a 15% chance of a QS.
This means he'll go 7 scoreless innings.

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CardsofSTL
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Re: 4/17 GDT: Cardinals(Kim)@Phillies(Moore) 3:05 PM CT

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Re: 4/17 GDT: Cardinals(Kim)@Phillies(Moore) 3:05 PM CT

Post by CardsofSTL »

I guess you hit Dean before Carlson to try and split up the suck.

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Re: 4/17 GDT: Cardinals(Kim)@Phillies(Moore) 3:05 PM CT

Post by sighyoung »

GeddyWrox wrote:
April 17 21, 11:52 am
Matt Moore has a 15% chance of a QS.
This means he'll go 7 scoreless innings.
At least one inning of MLB's perfect-game alert.

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