6/11 GDT: Cardinals(Oviedo)@Cubs(Stewart) 1:20 PM CT

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CardsofSTL
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6/11 GDT: Cardinals(Oviedo)@Cubs(Stewart) 1:20 PM CT

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Cardinals @ Cubs
1:20 PM CT - June 11, 2021
Wrigley Field - Chicago, IL
Watch: Cardinals - BSMW/Cubs - Marquee Sports Network/MLBN (out of market)
Listen: Cardinals - KMOX 1120/Cubs - 670 The Score

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CardsofSTL
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Re: 6/11 GDT: Cardinals(Oviedo)@Cubs(Stewart) 1:20 PM CT

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Re: 6/11 GDT: Cardinals(Oviedo)@Cubs(Stewart) 1:20 PM CT

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St. Louis Cardinals (32-30, third in the NL Central) vs. Chicago Cubs (35-27, first in the NL Central)

Cardinals: Johan Oviedo (0-2, 5.25 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, 20 strikeouts) Cubs: TBD

St. Louis heads into the matchup after a strong showing by Adam Wainwright. Wainwright went seven innings, giving up two runs on three hits with six strikeouts against Cleveland.

The Cubs are 16-14 against the rest of their division. Chicago has hit 82 home runs this season, sixth in the majors. Javier Baez leads the club with 14, averaging one every 14.6 at-bats.

The Cardinals are 13-11 in division games. The St. Louis offense has compiled a .232 batting average as a team this season, Tyler O'Neill leads the team with a mark of .291.

The Cubs won the last meeting 2-1. Craig Kimbrel secured his first victory and Baez went 1-for-4 with a home run and two RBI for Chicago. Alex Reyes registered his first loss for St. Louis.

Kris Bryant leads the Cubs with 30 extra base hits and is slugging .575.

Nolan Arenado leads the Cardinals with 32 extra base hits and 40 RBI.

LAST 10 GAMES:

Cubs: 6-4, .209 batting average, 3.77 ERA, outscored opponents by six runs

Cardinals: 2-8, .233 batting average, 6.83 ERA, outscored by 33 runs

INJURIES:

Cubs: Trevor Williams: (appendix), Rowan Wick: (oblique), Justin Steele: (hamstring), Jonathan Holder: (shoulder), Adbert Alzolay: (finger), Nico Hoerner: (hamstring), Matt Duffy: (back), David Bote: (shoulder), Javier Baez: (thumb), Austin Romine: (left wrist).

Cardinals: Kodi Whitley: (undisclosed), Miles Mikolas: (forearm), Kwang Hyun Kim: (back), Dakota Hudson: (right elbow), Jordan Hicks: (elbow), Jack Flaherty: (side), Justin Williams: (neck), Harrison Bader: (rib), Max Moroff: (shoulder).

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Re: 6/11 GDT: Cardinals(Oviedo)@Cubs(Stewart) 1:20 PM CT

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Tyler O'Neill is a pretty spectacular player to watch when he's in a groove, with both power and speed that are among the very top ranks of baseball. On Wednesday, he hammered his 14th (and 15th) homers of the season -- and sixth (and seventh) in 13 games since returning from the injured list -- the first going 451 feet past the visitor's dugout in left field. It was O'Neill's fourth home run of the season of at least 450 feet. No one else in baseball has more.
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Re: 6/11 GDT: Cardinals(Oviedo)@Cubs(Stewart) 1:20 PM CT

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The Chicago Cubs are 21-10 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the St. Louis Cardinals who are 16-15 on the road this season. The Cubs have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cubs' starter Kyle Hendricks is forecasted to have a better game than Cardinals' starter Johan Oviedo. Kyle Hendricks has a 39% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Johan Oviedo has a 25% chance of a QS. If Kyle Hendricks has a quality start the Cubs has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.6 and he has a 48% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 65%. In Johan Oviedo quality starts the Cardinals win 55%. He has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 55% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Kris Bryant who averaged 2.74 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 74% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Nolan Arenado who averaged 2.33 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 49% chance of winning.
and since it's the first game of the day, you can witness the full power of the A.S.S. at the following link
https://www.accuscore.com/index.php?opt ... 1329106886

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Re: 6/11 GDT: Cardinals(Oviedo)@Cubs(Stewart) 1:20 PM CT

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Pick your poison: the walks, the hit batsmen -- doing either of the two when the bases are juiced -- or the wild pitches. The Cardinals lead Major League Baseball in all of ‘em. (Also, walk percentage, walks-per-nine-innings, walks-to-strikeouts rate, if you’re keeping full score.) Most concerning is how many noncompetitive at-bats have come when the bases are loaded, including an MLB-leading 15 free passes in such scenarios and four plunks. That the Cardinals are second-best in the NL in batting average against with the bases juiced indicates one thing: They have great pitching when it’s competitive, but it’s been hard to uncover, especially in recent weeks.

And it's not hard to see why. The Cardinals have been incredibly bitten by the injury bug, with three-fifths of their starting rotation -- Jack Flaherty, Miles Mikolas and Kwang Hyun Kim -- out with ailments, the first two of the long-term variety, as well as a few of their high-leverage bullpen arms. But these were concerns that extended far before such injuries and can especially be centralized in the bullpen, where not even the staunch Alex Reyes is safe. The walk rate within the relief corps is the second worst from any club in the Expansion Era (since 1961). The Cards are giving away 90 feet, and in tandem, wins.
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There have been some feel-good stories in the Cubs’ bullpen this season. Tommy Nance rose from indy ball to the Majors and looks like a real weapon. Rookies like Keegan Thompson and Justin Steele made their debuts and helped stabilize the group. Dillon Maples – an advanced-metrics darling in past cups of coffee – has developed into a multi-inning strikeout artist.

Really, though, the story of the Cubs’ bullpen has been the late-inning combination of closer Craig Kimbrel and setup men Ryan Tepera, Andrew Chafin and Dan Winkler. As a foursome, those vets had combined for a 1.54 ERA with 119 strikeouts against 36 walks in 99 1/3 innings before Wednesday's action.

The relief corps has been pushed hard, especially with setbacks and stretches of short outings from the rotation, but manager David Ross has been able to rely on his late-inning group to lock things down with a lead. Going into Wednesday, the Cubs’ bullpen ranked second in the Majors with a 2.75 ERA. It has been a key for Chicago climbing out of its April slump as a team.

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Re: 6/11 GDT: Cardinals(Oviedo)@Cubs(Stewart) 1:20 PM CT

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Jocephus wrote:
June 11 21, 9:12 am
The Chicago Cubs are 21-10 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the St. Louis Cardinals who are 16-15 on the road this season. The Cubs have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cubs' starter Kyle Hendricks is forecasted to have a better game than Cardinals' starter Johan Oviedo. Kyle Hendricks has a 39% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Johan Oviedo has a 25% chance of a QS. If Kyle Hendricks has a quality start the Cubs has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.6 and he has a 48% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 65%. In Johan Oviedo quality starts the Cardinals win 55%. He has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 55% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Kris Bryant who averaged 2.74 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 74% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Nolan Arenado who averaged 2.33 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 49% chance of winning.
and since it's the first game of the day, you can witness the full power of the A.S.S. at the following link
https://www.accuscore.com/index.php?opt ... 1329106886
That's not the kind of A.S.S. I'm looking for on a Friday.

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Re: 6/11 GDT: Cardinals(Oviedo)@Cubs(Stewart) 1:20 PM CT

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Friday day game at Wrigley y'all


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Re: 6/11 GDT: Cardinals(Oviedo)@Cubs(Stewart) 1:20 PM CT

Post by BottenFieldofDreams »

Easy goodwill to be had in this series after going for roughly zero wins in the last 20 games.

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Re: 6/11 GDT: Cardinals(Oviedo)@Cubs(Stewart) 1:20 PM CT

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Edman, RF
Carlson, CF
Goldschmidt, 1B
Arenado, 3B
O'Neill, LF
Molina, C
Carpenter, 2B
DeJong, SS
Oviedo, P

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