7/25 GDT: Cardinals(Oviedo)@Reds(Gray) 12:10 PM CT

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CardsofSTL
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7/25 GDT: Cardinals(Oviedo)@Reds(Gray) 12:10 PM CT

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Cardinals @ Reds
12:10 PM CT - July 25, 2021
Great American Ballpark - Cincinnati, OH
Watch: Cardinals - BSMW/Reds - BSOH
Listen: Cardinals - KMOX 1120/Reds - WLW 700


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CardsofSTL
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Re: 7/25 GDT: Cardinals(Oviedo)@Reds(Gray) 12:10 PM CT

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Re: 7/25 GDT: Cardinals(Oviedo)@Reds(Gray) 12:10 PM CT

Post by Jocephus »

The Cincinnati Reds are 24-25 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the St. Louis Cardinals who are 21-28 on the road this season. The Reds have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Reds\' starter Sonny Gray is forecasted to have a better game than Cardinals\' starter Johan Oviedo. Sonny Gray has a 39% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Johan Oviedo has a 25% chance of a QS. If Sonny Gray has a quality start the Reds has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 68%. In Johan Oviedo quality starts the Cardinals win 59%. He has a 16% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 59% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Nick Castellanos who averaged 2.73 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 49% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Nolan Arenado who averaged 2.3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 52% chance of winning.

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CardsofSTL
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Re: 7/25 GDT: Cardinals(Oviedo)@Reds(Gray) 12:10 PM CT

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St. Louis Cardinals (49-50, third in the NL Central) vs. Cincinnati Reds (51-47, second in the NL Central)

PITCHING PROBABLES:

Cardinals: Johan Oviedo (0-5, 4.81 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, 45 strikeouts)

Reds: Sonny Gray (2-5, 3.78 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 86 strikeouts)

Cincinnati and St. Louis will play on Sunday.

The Reds are 26-25 in home games in 2020. Cincinnati is averaging 4.6 RBI per game this season. Nick Castellanos leads the team with 60 total runs batted in.

The Cardinals are 21-30 in road games. St. Louis has slugged .383 this season. Tyler O'Neill leads the team with a .509 slugging percentage, including 33 extra-base hits and 16 home runs.

The Reds won the last meeting 5-3. Luis Castillo earned his fourth victory and Jesse Winker went 3-for-4 with a double, a home run and four RBI for Cincinnati. Jake Woodford registered his second loss for St. Louis.

Winker is second on the Reds with 42 extra base hits and is batting .297.

Nolan Arenado leads the Cardinals with 19 home runs and is batting .257.

LAST 10 GAMES:

Reds: 5-5, .243 batting average, 5.36 ERA, outscored by 20 runs

Cardinals: 6-4, .256 batting average, 3.34 ERA, outscored opponents by seven runs

INJURIES:

Reds: Art Warren: (oblique), Lucas Sims: (elbow), Michael Lorenzen: (hamstring), Michael Feliz: (elbow), Brandon Bailey: (elbow), Tejay Antone: (forearm), R.J. Alaniz: (calf), Nick Senzel: (knee), Nick Castellanos: (wrist), Mike Moustakas: (heel), Alex Blandino: (hand).

Cardinals: Daniel Ponce de Leon: (shoulder), Miles Mikolas: (forearm), Carlos Martinez: (thumb), Dakota Hudson: (right elbow), Jordan Hicks: (elbow), Jack Flaherty: (oblique), Max Moroff: (shoulder).

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CardsofSTL
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Re: 7/25 GDT: Cardinals(Oviedo)@Reds(Gray) 12:10 PM CT

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Re: 7/25 GDT: Cardinals(Oviedo)@Reds(Gray) 12:10 PM CT

Post by InvincibleCakeEater »

These stupid losers are playing again?

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Re: 7/25 GDT: Cardinals(Oviedo)@Reds(Gray) 12:10 PM CT

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Re: 7/25 GDT: Cardinals(Oviedo)@Reds(Gray) 12:10 PM CT

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Cards up 2-0 after the top of the first.

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Re: 7/25 GDT: Cardinals(Oviedo)@Reds(Gray) 12:10 PM CT

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Re: 7/25 GDT: Cardinals(Oviedo)@Reds(Gray) 12:10 PM CT

Post by Jocephus »

after TON's homer: great start!
after votto's homer: great start...

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