The Atlanta Braves are 47-37 at home this season and the Houston Astros are 47-39 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Braves' starter Ian Anderson is forecasted to have a better game than Astros' starter Luis Garcia. Ian Anderson has a 39% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Luis Garcia has a 33% chance of a QS. If Ian Anderson has a quality start the Braves has a 67% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.5 and he has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 59%. In Luis Garcia quality starts the Astros win 65%. He has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 65% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Freddie Freeman who averaged 2.21 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 62% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Alex Bregman who averaged 2.24 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 65% chance of winning.
Jose Altuve (R) 2B
Michael Brantley (L) RF
Alex Bregman (R) 3B
Yordan Alvarez (L) LF
Carlos Correa (R) SS
Kyle Tucker (L) CF
Yuli Gurriel (R) 1B
Martin Maldonado (R) C
Luis Garcia (R) P
Eddie Rosario (L) LF
Freddie Freeman (L) 1B
Ozzie Albies (S) 2B
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Jorge Soler (R) RF
Adam Duvall (R) CF
Travis d'Arnaud (R) C
Dansby Swanson (R) SS
Ian Anderson (R) P