WS GM4: Astros(Greinke) @ Braves(TBD) 7:09 PM CT

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CardsofSTL
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WS GM4: Astros(Greinke) @ Braves(TBD) 7:09 PM CT

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CardsofSTL
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Re: WS GM4: Astros(Greinke) @ Braves(TBD) 7:09 PM CT

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Jocephus
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Re: WS GM4: Astros(Greinke) @ Braves(TBD) 7:09 PM CT

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The Houston Astros are 47-40 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Atlanta Braves who are 48-37 at home. The Astros have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Charlie Morton has a 38% chance of a QS and Zack Greinke a 40% chance. If Charlie Morton has a quality start the Braves has a 63% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 49%. If Zack Greinke has a quality start the Astros has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.5 and he has a 50% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 59%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Freddie Freeman who averaged 2.13 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 54% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Jose Altuve who averaged 2.24 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 68% chance of winning.
the a.s.s. thinks its morton


https://accuscore.com/index.php?option= ... 1329117368

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sighyoung
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Re: WS GM4: Astros(Greinke) @ Braves(TBD) 7:09 PM CT

Post by sighyoung »

Jocephus wrote:
October 30 21, 1:23 pm
The Houston Astros are 47-40 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Atlanta Braves who are 48-37 at home. The Astros have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Charlie Morton has a 38% chance of a QS and Zack Greinke a 40% chance. If Charlie Morton has a quality start the Braves has a 63% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 49%. If Zack Greinke has a quality start the Astros has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.5 and he has a 50% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 59%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Freddie Freeman who averaged 2.13 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 54% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Jose Altuve who averaged 2.24 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 68% chance of winning.
the a.s.s. thinks its morton


https://accuscore.com/index.php?option= ... 1329117368
Yeah, the A.S.S. is ass about correcting lineups. But hey, at least it's not Larry Dierker against Phil Niekro.

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Re: WS GM4: Astros(Greinke) @ Braves(TBD) 7:09 PM CT

Post by Radbird »

Zack Greinke is batting eighth for the Houston Astros against the Atlanta Braves in Game 4, the first pitcher not to bat ninth in the World Series since Babe Ruth of Boston Red Sox hit sixth in Game 4 in 1918.

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Re: WS GM4: Astros(Greinke) @ Braves(TBD) 7:09 PM CT

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Re: WS GM4: Astros(Greinke) @ Braves(TBD) 7:09 PM CT

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Lee departs with bases loaded and one out in the first.

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