5/21 GDT: Cardinals(Liberatore) @ Pirates(Quintana) 5:35 PM CT

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CardsofSTL
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5/21 GDT: Cardinals(Liberatore) @ Pirates(Quintana) 5:35 PM CT

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Cardinals @ Pirates
5:35 PM CT - May 21, 2022
PNC Park - Pittsburgh, PA
Listen: Cardinals - KMOX 1120/Pirates - KDKA 93.7
Watch: Cardinals - BSMW/Pirates - ATTSportsNet-PIT

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CardsofSTL
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Re: 5/21 GDT: Cardinals(Liberatore) @ Pirates(Quintana) 5:35 PM CT

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Re: 5/21 GDT: Cardinals(Liberatore) @ Pirates(Quintana) 5:35 PM CT

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Re: 5/21 GDT: Cardinals(Liberatore) @ Pirates(Quintana) 5:35 PM CT

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St. Louis Cardinals (21-18, second in the NL Central) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (16-22, third in the NL Central)

PITCHING PROBABLES:

Cardinals: Matthew Liberatore (0-0)
Pirates: Jose Quintana (1-1, 2.19 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 30 strikeouts)

The St. Louis Cardinals meet the Pittsburgh Pirates leading the series 1-0.

Pittsburgh has a 16-22 record overall and a 9-11 record at home. The Pirates are 6-2 in games when they hit at least two home runs.

St. Louis is 10-8 in home games and 21-18 overall. The Cardinals have the sixth-ranked team ERA in the NL at 3.68.

The matchup Saturday is the fifth time these teams meet this season. The Cardinals hold a 3-1 advantage in the season series.

Ke'Bryan Hayes has 10 doubles and nine RBI while hitting .288 for the Pirates. Michael Chavis is 9-for-22 with two doubles and a home run over the past 10 games.

Nolan Arenado leads the Cardinals with 21 extra base hits (12 doubles and nine home runs). Paul Goldschmidt is 18-for-41 with seven doubles, four home runs and 16 RBI over the past 10 games.

LAST 10 GAMES:

Pirates: 4-6, .173 batting average, 4.70 ERA, outscored by 32 runs

Cardinals: 5-5, .280 batting average, 4.19 ERA, outscored opponents by eight runs

INJURIES:

Pirates: Roberto Perez: 60-Day IL (hamstring), Jake Marisnick: 10-Day IL (thumb), Kevin Newman: 10-Day IL (groin), Greg Allen: 60-Day IL (hamstring), Blake Cederlind: 60-Day IL (elbow), Nick Mears: 60-Day IL (elbow)

Cardinals: Jack Flaherty: 60-Day IL (shoulder), Tyler O'Neill: 10-Day IL (shoulder), Edmundo Sosa: day-to-day (ankle), Alex Reyes: 60-Day IL (shoulder)

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CardsofSTL
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Re: 5/21 GDT: Cardinals(Liberatore) @ Pirates(Quintana) 5:35 PM CT

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Re: 5/21 GDT: Cardinals(Liberatore) @ Pirates(Quintana) 5:35 PM CT

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Re: 5/21 GDT: Cardinals(Liberatore) @ Pirates(Quintana) 5:35 PM CT

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Probably have an Albert start tonight.

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Re: 5/21 GDT: Cardinals(Liberatore) @ Pirates(Quintana) 5:35 PM CT

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Wow I had no idea Quintana was having this nice a season. I thought he we was cooked.

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Re: 5/21 GDT: Cardinals(Liberatore) @ Pirates(Quintana) 5:35 PM CT

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Liberatore, who was drafted by Tampa Bay three picks before Gorman, came to St. Louis as part of the 2020 trade that sent Randy Arozarena to the Rays. The 6-foot-4 southpaw, who checks in as the club's No. 3 prospect, has posted a 3.99 ERA with 169 strikeouts in 164 2/3 innings at Triple-A since the start of the '21 season. He has walked fewer than three batters per nine innings each season thanks to his advanced pitchability. MLB Pipeline assigned an above-average grade to each of Liberatore’s four pitches: fastball, slider, curveball and changeup.

“Giving him the chance to come up here is something I’m looking forward to,” Marmol said of the 22-year-old. "He is coming and throwing Saturday. We’ll get a good look at him, and see where we want to go from there.”

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Re: 5/21 GDT: Cardinals(Liberatore) @ Pirates(Quintana) 5:35 PM CT

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The Pittsburgh Pirates are 9-10 at home this season and the St. Louis Cardinals are 10-9 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Pirates\' starter Jose Quintana is forecasted to have a better game than Cardinals\' starter Matthew Liberatore. Jose Quintana has a 50% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Matthew Liberatore has a 43% chance of a QS. If Jose Quintana has a quality start the Pirates has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.2 and he has a 16% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 59%. In Matthew Liberatore quality starts the Cardinals win 71%. He has a 12% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 71% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Dan Vogelbach who averaged 2.47 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 63% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Nolan Arenado who averaged 2.61 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 64% chance of winning.

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