


Yankees vs Cardinals
7:15PM CT - August 5, 2022
Busch Stadium - St. Louis, MO
Listen: Yankees - WFAN / Cardinals - KMOX 1120
Watch: Yankees - AMAZ PV/ Cardinals - BSMW

The New York Yankees are 29-21 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the St. Louis Cardinals who are 32-20 at home. The Yankees have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Yankees\' starter Nestor Cortes Jr. is forecasted to have a better game than Cardinals\' starter Dakota Hudson. Nestor Cortes Jr. has a 49% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Dakota Hudson has a 37% chance of a QS. If Nestor Cortes Jr. has a quality start the Yankees has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 60%. In Dakota Hudson quality starts the Cardinals win 72%. He has a 5% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 72% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Paul Goldschmidt who averaged 2.65 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 52% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 2.84 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 49% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 69% chance of winning.