9/30 GDT: Pirates(Oviedo) vs Cardinals(Flaherty) 7:15 PM CT

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Jocephus
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Re: 9/30 GDT: Pirates(Oviedo) vs Cardinals(Flaherty) 7:15 PM CT

Post by Jocephus »

The St. Louis Cardinals are 51-27 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates who are 27-49 on the road this season. The Cardinals have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cardinals\' starter Jack Flaherty is forecasted to have a better game than Pirates\' starter Johan Oviedo. Jack Flaherty has a 54% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Johan Oviedo has a 29% chance of a QS. If Jack Flaherty has a quality start the Cardinals has a 87% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.7 and he has a 13% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 71%. In Johan Oviedo quality starts the Pirates win 54%. He has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 54% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Paul Goldschmidt who averaged 2.91 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 51% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 80% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Bryan Reynolds who averaged 1.9 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 36% chance of winning.

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Re: 9/30 GDT: Pirates(Oviedo) vs Cardinals(Flaherty) 7:15 PM CT

Post by booger71 »

I wanna 6 game sweep of the PieRATS

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Re: 9/30 GDT: Pirates(Oviedo) vs Cardinals(Flaherty) 7:15 PM CT

Post by Radbird »

Image

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Re: 9/30 GDT: Pirates(Oviedo) vs Cardinals(Flaherty) 7:15 PM CT

Post by Radbird »

Sit down, Oneil.

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Re: 9/30 GDT: Pirates(Oviedo) vs Cardinals(Flaherty) 7:15 PM CT

Post by Magneto2.0 »

1-2-3 inning for Flaherty

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Re: 9/30 GDT: Pirates(Oviedo) vs Cardinals(Flaherty) 7:15 PM CT

Post by Radbird »

Jack looks sharp.

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Re: 9/30 GDT: Pirates(Oviedo) vs Cardinals(Flaherty) 7:15 PM CT

Post by Radbird »

Our old buddy Oviedo with the leadoff walk.

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Re: 9/30 GDT: Pirates(Oviedo) vs Cardinals(Flaherty) 7:15 PM CT

Post by Radbird »

Good challenge.

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Re: 9/30 GDT: Pirates(Oviedo) vs Cardinals(Flaherty) 7:15 PM CT

Post by Radbird »

And Jack follows that with a 4-pitch walk…

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Re: 9/30 GDT: Pirates(Oviedo) vs Cardinals(Flaherty) 7:15 PM CT

Post by Radbird »

Jack struggles but gets through it unscathed.

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