10/1 GDT: Pirates(Ortiz) vs Cardinals(Montgomery) 6:15 PM CT

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Radbird
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10/1 GDT: Pirates(Ortiz) vs Cardinals(Montgomery) 6:15 PM CT

Post by Radbird »

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Pirates vs Cardinals
6:15 PM CT - October 1, 2022
Busch Stadium - St. Louis, MO
Listen: Pirates - KDKA/Cardinals - KMOX 1120
Watch: Pirates - ATTP/Cardinals - BSMW

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Jocephus
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Re: 10/1 GDT: Pirates(Ortiz) vs Cardinals(Montgomery) 6:15 PM CT

Post by Jocephus »

The St. Louis Cardinals are 51-27 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates who are 27-49 on the road this season. The Cardinals have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cardinals\' starter Jordan Montgomery is forecasted to have a better game than Pirates\' starter Luis Ortiz ®. Jordan Montgomery has a 65% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Luis Ortiz ® has a 28% chance of a QS. If Jordan Montgomery has a quality start the Cardinals has a 88% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 7.3 and he has a 57% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 78%. In Luis Ortiz ® quality starts the Pirates win 48%. He has a 13% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 48% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Paul Goldschmidt who averaged 3.1 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 56% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 83% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Bryan Reynolds who averaged 1.54 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 21% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 36% chance of winning.

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Re: 10/1 GDT: Pirates(Ortiz) vs Cardinals(Montgomery) 6:15 PM CT

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Re: 10/1 GDT: Pirates(Ortiz) vs Cardinals(Montgomery) 6:15 PM CT

Post by Radbird »

Pirates vs Montgomery -

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The Cardinals have never faced Luis Ortiz.

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Re: 10/1 GDT: Pirates(Ortiz) vs Cardinals(Montgomery) 6:15 PM CT

Post by Radbird »

Pittsburgh Pirates (59-98, fifth in the NL Central) vs. St. Louis Cardinals (91-66, first in the NL Central)

St. Louis; Saturday, 7:15 p.m. EDT

PITCHING PROBABLES: Pirates: Luis Ortiz (0-1, 1.17 ERA, .78 WHIP, 17 strikeouts); Cardinals: Jordan Montgomery (8-6, 3.50 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 153 strikeouts)

LINE: Cardinals -251, Pirates +206; over/under is 7 runs

BOTTOM LINE: The Pittsburgh Pirates travel to the St. Louis Cardinals looking to end a seven-game road skid.

St. Louis has a 91-66 record overall and a 52-27 record in home games. The Cardinals have hit 194 total home runs to rank seventh in the majors.

Pittsburgh is 27-52 on the road and 59-98 overall. The Pirates have gone 40-14 in games when they scored at least five runs.

The teams play Saturday for the 15th time this season. The Cardinals are ahead 11-3 in the season series.

TOP PERFORMERS: Nolan Arenado has 41 doubles, a triple, 30 home runs and 101 RBI while hitting .293 for the Cardinals. Paul Goldschmidt is 9-for-33 with two doubles over the past 10 games.

Bryan Reynolds has 17 doubles, four triples and 26 home runs for the Pirates. Oneil Cruz is 10-for-35 with two doubles over the last 10 games.

LAST 10 GAMES: Cardinals: 4-6, .202 batting average, 3.07 ERA, outscored by three runs

Pirates: 4-6, .225 batting average, 4.70 ERA, outscored by six runs

INJURIES: Cardinals: Jordan Hicks: 15-Day IL (neck), Tyler O'Neill: 10-Day IL (hamstring), Drew VerHagen: 60-Day IL (hip), Alex Reyes: 60-Day IL (shoulder)

Pirates: Tyler Heineman: 7-Day IL (concussion), Eric Stout: 15-Day IL (undisclosed), JT Brubaker: 15-Day IL (lat), Colin Holderman: 60-Day IL (shoulder), Yerry De Los Santos: 60-Day IL (lat), Max Kranick: 60-Day IL (elbow), Canaan Smith-Njigba: 60-Day IL (wrist), Roberto Perez: 60-Day IL (hamstring), Blake Cederlind: 60-Day IL (elbow)

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Re: 10/1 GDT: Pirates(Ortiz) vs Cardinals(Montgomery) 6:15 PM CT

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Re: 10/1 GDT: Pirates(Ortiz) vs Cardinals(Montgomery) 6:15 PM CT

Post by TigCards »

Well now , I don’t think I’ve seen that lineup before .
🍿

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Re: 10/1 GDT: Pirates(Ortiz) vs Cardinals(Montgomery) 6:15 PM CT

Post by AdmiralKird »

no no in effect after .1

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Re: 10/1 GDT: Pirates(Ortiz) vs Cardinals(Montgomery) 6:15 PM CT

Post by AdmiralKird »

Monty has a no hitter after 1

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Re: 10/1 GDT: Pirates(Ortiz) vs Cardinals(Montgomery) 6:15 PM CT

Post by CT Defector »

Bases loaded no outs, will we get a run?

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