Our financial system is crumbling this week.

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AWvsCBsteeeerike3
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Re: Our financial system is crumbling this week.

Post by AWvsCBsteeeerike3 »

UK wrote:
AWvsCBsteeeerike3 wrote: So, for the sake of saving two or three bad days or even weeks on Wall Street, congress should push through an abhorrent bailout plan without getting it corrected? I don't think they should do it at all, and you're asking for the poo version to be pushed through. You may know more about financial markets and the economy than I do, but I don't think I'm wrong for being happy the bailout didn't go through yesterday.

No, I'm focusing on the economy as a whole as well. And, my simple reasoning is this: If you are a good investment (ie, have good credit, a solid job, and can make your monthly payments - be it a small business or an individual home/car buyer), banks will invest in you. Maybe not WaMu or Goldman Sachs or whoever else because they've all shot themselves in the foot. But, and I don't know this I can only guess - so if I'm wrong please tell me - there would be a bank, somewhere maybe Europe or Asia, just chomping at the bit to be the banker that all they have to do is follow a standard that banks with great success followed for 100+ years (or however long) and make a killing. If there's no banks wanting to make money and not bankrupt, then I guess I am wrong. But, seriously, America has been a pretty good country with a pretty good finanacial system for a long time. If all the banks here fail, all one has to do is step up with the capital, charge a little bit more for theirmoney, give out only loans that would have been approved in the 80's, follow old practices and make a boatload of money.

So, if our banks fail, every other bank worldwide fails as well? I agree with more regulation. I just wish the people that pushed for no government invovlement weren't the ones now screaming the loudest about how they need a trillion dollars.

I just simply don't believe this. I refuse to believe that banks will stop investing in good investments.

Further decline is fine by me.

Where is the govt getting the 700 billion from? They can afford that, but can't help the little guy get money to finance his home? This, imo, would be a lot better investment than handing over a blank check to whomever.
No plan is going to be perfect, the plan is designed to be a compromise between parties. Giving them till next Sunday to try and rework it does little to nothing at all if their partisan provisions remain the same.

You can't be focusing on the economy if you think certain increased recession and a possible Great Depression is fine by you.

You're wrong in the fact that you don't think that more people will be looking to borrow than the banks will provide credit, I think you misunderstand how vital lending is to the economy and not how critical denying an additional 5% of the mortgages, small business loans, student loan, etc. is to the economy. In this economy, people are looking to borrow more than they have in many years b/c they're making the same but expenses have increased, unemployment is high, and people had been living beyond their means.

They're getting the 700 billion from the taxpayers, having that go directly to the gov't does nothing for the banks, you need the banking system to revive and get the economy looking forward.
i never said Great Depression. I think that's made up. Yes, a recession would be fine by me. And, admittedly, for personal gains. But, I don't htink it's the end of the world. We can't have a booming economy 100% of the time.

I fully understand how important lending is to the economy. 75% of my clients have their projects financed. And, of those 75%, probably half to a third didn't deserve the loans they got. And, they were the ones that I am having problems collecting from. However, there are other markets, such as the green energy boom and infrastructure that we've discussed that will keep everyone afloat to say the least.

Unemployment at 6% is not that high. 4% is almost fully employed as there is a constant flux in people switching jobs and what not. And, people need to stop spending more than they make. If that doesn't happen, all this is moot because we're doomed.

How are they getting the 700 billion from the taxpayers? Taxes aren't due for half a year and I haven't gotten a bill...... I agree you need a banking system to keep the economy moving forward.

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Hungary Jack
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Re: Our financial system is crumbling this week.

Post by Hungary Jack »

There should not be much doubt that we are experiencing the second huge correction in asset prices post bubble in a decade. The first was tech stocks. Now it is housing.

The housing boom was driven by incredibly lax monetary policy (by historical standards) post tech bubble / 911. In other words, cheap money prompted all types of investors to start bidding up property prices at unsustainable rates. There is evidence of this in every developed country.

So how will the economy fare in the wake of the housing price correction? It's hard to tell, but if debt-happy consumers were drawing on home equity to finance their consumption, we will have a bumpy ride for awhile. But increasing trade, investment in green technologies, and infrastructure spending could keep the economy float during these times.

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heyzeus
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Re: Our financial system is crumbling this week.

Post by heyzeus »

My grave concern is that without a bailout plan in effect, soon, small and moderate sized business are going to be frozen on their credit and will effectively be out of business. That's when this situation stops being abstract and starts the real pain for you and me.

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Hungary Jack
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Re: Our financial system is crumbling this week.

Post by Hungary Jack »

heyzeus wrote:My grave concern is that without a bailout plan in effect, soon, small and moderate sized business are going to be frozen on their credit and will effectively be out of business. That's when this situation stops being abstract and starts the real pain for you and me.
Yup. There is an article in the Economist that notes how companies are taking roughly 1.5 days longer to pay their vendors. I forget the exact figure, but the variance vastly exceeds historical norms. When cash is tight, bills get delayed, and bad things start to happen.

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TheoSqua
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Re: Our financial system is crumbling this week.

Post by TheoSqua »

I like this guy's plan:

http://www.snopes.com/politics/taxes/dividend.asp

Let's just add a couple of zeros to the end and pretend like all is well!

Apparently this e-mail is getting really popular with people who don't bother to do math.

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BW23
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Re: Our financial system is crumbling this week.

Post by BW23 »

I've already said that I don't really understand completely how we got here, so if someone wants to slam this idea (which isn't mine), then feel free. Won't hurt my feelings.

What if that $700 billion was taken and used to pay off mortgages? You know, pay them off. Where people have no home debt. Where they would in turn put that money into the economy.

What would that do to the current crisis? I'm asking because I really don't know.

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docellis
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Re: Our financial system is crumbling this week.

Post by docellis »

how would they decide which mortgages to pay?

AWvsCBsteeeerike3
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Re: Our financial system is crumbling this week.

Post by AWvsCBsteeeerike3 »

BW23 wrote:I've already said that I don't really understand completely how we got here, so if someone wants to slam this idea (which isn't mine), then feel free. Won't hurt my feelings.

What if that $700 billion was taken and used to pay off mortgages? You know, pay them off. Where people have no home debt. Where they would in turn put that money into the economy.

What would that do to the current crisis? I'm asking because I really don't know.
I'd go buy a house real quick and then default ASAP in order to get a free house....probably go for one I couldn't afford anyway.....out on the lake....with a pool and a nice view and patio.

Seriously, though, you can't punish responsible homeowners by handing the derelicts a free house.

greenback44
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Re: Our financial system is crumbling this week.

Post by greenback44 »

BW23 wrote:What if that $700 billion was taken and used to pay off mortgages? You know, pay them off. Where people have no home debt. Where they would in turn put that money into the economy.

What would that do to the current crisis? I'm asking because I really don't know.
It would jack up taxes a lot more than some version of the Paulson plan. Unless the Treasury manages this is in a horrendously incompetent fashion (and they shouldn't, because plenty of qualified folks are volunteering to work for this), they're supposed to get at least $600 billion of that $700 billion back.

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JCShutout
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Re: Our financial system is crumbling this week.

Post by JCShutout »

UK wrote:In this economy, people are looking to borrow more than they have in many years b/c they're making the same but expenses have increased, unemployment is high, and people had been living beyond their means.
Shoulden't we refrain from doing this anyway?

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