The MS-laden Bartlet crushed whateverhisnamewas in his bid for re-election. As far as I remember, all the coverage of Bartlet's first election focused on his rapid ascent through the primaries to overtake the frontrunner, Hoynes.haltz wrote:Bartlet's first term was a pretty tight race.BenNX74205 wrote:Maybe the polls will be right. Personally, I have a hard time believing Obama will win by 200 EVs. We'll see tomorrow night. Obama is not Jed Bartlet. The real world is not "The West Wing." Democratic presidential candidates don't win this type of victory, and the ones that do have extenuating circumstances on their side, or run a campaign atypical of the "standard liberal democrat."
If Wikipedia is correct, Clinton won by this sort of margin twice. FWIW, 538 has Obama projected at 346 electoral votes and 52 to 46 in the popular vote.
As for Clinton, he was a southern democrat that allowed him to carve out a lot of the "flyover states" and turn them into democratic victories. The last two democrats to win the presidency with more than 50% of the popular vote were southern democrats: Carter and LBJ. Obama (Chicago) and Biden (Delaware) aren't going to flip the south, regardless of the African American vote; if they could, we wouldn't need majority-minority voting districts across the "South."
I'm not a true believer. I'm voting for Obama tomorrow morning as soon as the polls open.pop_haines wrote:Hullo?Arthur Dent wrote:Care to make this interesting?
Gauntlet thrown with an audible clank, two snaps, and a flipped bird.
C'mon, true believers; someone pick it up.
But I'll pick up the gauntlet. I'll go out on the scariest of all possible limbs and say McCain wins tomorrow with over 300 EVs. I sure as hell hope I'm wrong, but I'll be alone on an island on this one if I must.