Eephus Speed wrote:AWvsCBsteeeerike3 wrote:I just checked out some of the comments over at nsbb regarding the projections and they are pretty funny. Kind of range from the Cubs undoubtedly being worse than the Reds to the Cubs having the best pitching and offense.
Yeah, I wanted to participate in that discussion, but my registration is awaiting approval. The odds of the Cubs having the division's best offense and best pitching are slim. And then there's defense.
I think most objective baseball fans would say the Cardinals are the favorites, in spite of us making "one of the worst deals in major league history." So, who's the second best team in the NL Central? I think the Cubs, Reds and Brewers appear to be about even. Maybe this should be its own thread.
Who would you all say is the Wild Card favorite? Are the Dodgers clear favorites in the NL West?
Registration gets approved in batches at NSBB. You're well worth having for discussion though, what name did you register with?
I'm the one who said the Cubs have the best pitching and probably the best offense. Maybe overstating a bit with the offense, but I'm more optimistic than most about this coming season, and frankly I'm sick of thoughtless, fatalistic Cubs fans who seem to think the Cubs will be lucky to break 70 wins(exaggerated, but the sentiment is there).
Personally, I think the Cards and Cubs are 1a and 1b in the division, and the Reds and Brewers will see who can non-pitch themselves into a distant 3rd. Like I mentioned in that thread, a large part of the Cards advantage in projections is in their defense. While they certainly have some strong defenders, I'm less sold on the certainty of the value of that defense because the Cards have their best defenders at positions where the metrics are least reliable(Molina, Pujols) or in players who don't have the necessary innings under their belt for such lofty UZR numbers to be an expectation(Ryan, Rasmus). IMO the two teams aren't separated by more than a game or two, which is enough for me to say it's a tossup.