Trade Rumors - Oswalt to Phillies

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AWvsCBsteeeerike3
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Re: Trade Rumors - Cards looking at Oswalt?

Post by AWvsCBsteeeerike3 »

vinsanity wrote:The scales don't matter.

As I said further down in my post, I understand the point. But by using that as long as they are both getting paid market value they are even in is kinda bull. I mean I understand the theory/idea behind it sure. But that would mean if Ryan was a .5 WAR player making league minimum he'd be worth more than a $10M player only worth 2 wins.
When the monthly note on your car doesn't matter, let me know, because I'm all about buying a lamborghini instead of a toyota.

Regarding Ryan/10M player only worth 2 wins..... if you were a GM and had a 10M player worth 2 wins and had no shot at the playoffs, wouldn't you straight up trade that player for Ryan (making 400K this and next year I believe plus little more than that for the next 3 years) then go spend that 9.5 Mil, 9 Mil, 8 Mil and 7 Mil in the remaining years on a 2 win player and have both..... Of course you would. Mo is looking at giving up more than Ryan and likely why he wants money back in return.

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Re: Trade Rumors - Cards looking at Oswalt?

Post by Vidor »

Ryan isn't a Toyota. He isn't even a Pinto. He might be a soap box derby racer. This discussion is missing a true appreciation of how hideously awful Brendan Ryan is.

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vinsanity
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Re: Trade Rumors - Cards looking at Oswalt?

Post by vinsanity »

AWvsCBsteeeerike3 wrote:
vinsanity wrote:The scales don't matter.

As I said further down in my post, I understand the point. But by using that as long as they are both getting paid market value they are even in is kinda bull. I mean I understand the theory/idea behind it sure. But that would mean if Ryan was a .5 WAR player making league minimum he'd be worth more than a $10M player only worth 2 wins.
When the monthly note on your car doesn't matter, let me know, because I'm all about buying a lamborghini instead of a toyota.
This car analogy is getting way out of hand.

Oswalt's Salary is a drop in the cost bucket of a major league franchise. It's worth paying his salary to not become the cheap owner who let one of the city's more beloved baseball stars walk for a replacement level player, just because he's worth his salary this year and next.
Regarding Ryan/10M player only worth 2 wins..... if you were a GM and had a 10M player worth 2 wins and had no shot at the playoffs, wouldn't you straight up trade that player for Ryan (making 400K this and next year I believe plus little more than that for the next 3 years) then go spend that 9.5 Mil, 9 Mil, 8 Mil and 7 Mil in the remaining years on a 2 win player and have both..... Of course you would. Mo is looking at giving up more than Ryan and likely why he wants money back in return.
Oswalt's standing in the city is worth something. The way mgmt appears is worth something. Ryan will be over paid after next year, so you'd be moving backwards.

The point is, I understand this 'in a vacuum two players being paid exactly their contributions are equal, because you can allocate the money on one else where'.

But this isn't a vacuum, Ryan won't be worth his production in a few years (likely), Oswalt has an intrinsic value to the franchise over his production, Oswalt's production isn't easily replaced at market value in a FA market and the trade market has deemed Oswalt is worth more than a replacement level short stop.

To my dismay, if you buy your Lambo for $350K and the next day you decide to sell it, if you ask for $350K you won't get it. So you ask for $1M, and someone offers $350K (exactly what it's worth) and the guy next door sells the exact same car fore $500K, wouldn't you hold out for more too?

Edit - To sum it up, in theory there's no difference between practice and theory. In practice, there is. I would argue trading is too complex with too many variables on value and cost to sum it up with Y wins are worth X Dollars. If a Players X=Y than P1 and P2 are equally valuable is great when comparing value of a contract, comparing the value of two players etc, but when it comes to a trade you can't use that as the sole barometer of the 'fairness'.
Last edited by vinsanity on July 26 10, 6:20 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: Trade Rumors - Cards looking at Oswalt?

Post by Knot Hole Gang Vet »

Vidor wrote:Ryan isn't a Toyota. He isn't even a Pinto. He might be a soap box derby racer. This discussion is missing a true appreciation of how hideously awful Brendan Ryan is.

Well, the only guy I've seen hit one of those eye level pitches out of the park was named Jim Edmonds. That one Ryan popped up yesterday was just awful. I take potty breaks when he bats. Same thing with Yadi and a man on first with one out. Ouch. GIDP.

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Re: Trade Rumors - Cards looking at Oswalt?

Post by Bo Hart »

A couple of thoughts:
- I agree with a lot of what vinsanity is saying, and,
- Why are we resorting to insults and belittling?

AWvsCBsteeeerike3
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Re: Trade Rumors - Cards looking at Oswalt?

Post by AWvsCBsteeeerike3 »

Vidor wrote:Ryan isn't a Toyota. He isn't even a Pinto. He might be a soap box derby racer. This discussion is missing a true appreciation of how hideously awful Brendan Ryan is.
Ha. Well, there's something to be said for the poor year he's had thus far. Let's not forget though that only a year ago he was in the midst of a season where he recorded a 2.7 WAR while Oswalt recorded a 3.1. If you believe that season was a fluke, then by all means you are right, he isn't a Pinto. But, I tend to think he's just struggling a bit after the wrist surgery and will come around eventually. His defense already has and last night it showed.

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Re: Trade Rumors - Cards looking at Oswalt?

Post by Vidor »

Knot Hole Gang Vet wrote:
Vidor wrote:Ryan isn't a Toyota. He isn't even a Pinto. He might be a soap box derby racer. This discussion is missing a true appreciation of how hideously awful Brendan Ryan is.

Well, the only guy I've seen hit one of those eye level pitches out of the park was named Jim Edmonds. That one Ryan popped up yesterday was just awful. I take potty breaks when he bats. Same thing with Yadi and a man on first with one out. Ouch. GIDP.
No kidding. I thought it was pretty funny when Ryan actually rapped an RBI single up the middle and all the ESPN crew could talk about was how Dempster had to be kicking himself for throwing Ryan a fastball instead of a slider that Ryan would have no chance to hit. Harsh, but accurate.

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Re: Trade Rumors - Cards looking at Oswalt?

Post by AWvsCBsteeeerike3 »

Knot Hole Gang Vet wrote:
Vidor wrote:Ryan isn't a Toyota. He isn't even a Pinto. He might be a soap box derby racer. This discussion is missing a true appreciation of how hideously awful Brendan Ryan is.

Well, the only guy I've seen hit one of those eye level pitches out of the park was named Jim Edmonds. That one Ryan popped up yesterday was just awful. I take potty breaks when he bats. Same thing with Yadi and a man on first with one out. Ouch. GIDP.
You can't seriously be [expletive] about Brendan Ryan because of 1 bad pitch last night! He hit the ball well, played impeccable D and was all around on top of things.

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Re: Trade Rumors - Cards looking at Oswalt?

Post by AWvsCBsteeeerike3 »

Vidor wrote:
Knot Hole Gang Vet wrote:
Vidor wrote:Ryan isn't a Toyota. He isn't even a Pinto. He might be a soap box derby racer. This discussion is missing a true appreciation of how hideously awful Brendan Ryan is.

Well, the only guy I've seen hit one of those eye level pitches out of the park was named Jim Edmonds. That one Ryan popped up yesterday was just awful. I take potty breaks when he bats. Same thing with Yadi and a man on first with one out. Ouch. GIDP.
No kidding. I thought it was pretty funny when Ryan actually rapped an RBI single up the middle and all the ESPN crew could talk about was how Dempster had to be kicking himself for throwing Ryan a fastball instead of a slider that Ryan would have no chance to hit. Harsh, but accurate.
Not necessarily, he's a better breaking ball hitter than fastball which is not to say he's good by anymeans.

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Re: Trade Rumors - Cards looking at Oswalt?

Post by lukethedrifter »

AWvsCBsteeeerike3 wrote:
Knot Hole Gang Vet wrote:
Vidor wrote:Ryan isn't a Toyota. He isn't even a Pinto. He might be a soap box derby racer. This discussion is missing a true appreciation of how hideously awful Brendan Ryan is.

Well, the only guy I've seen hit one of those eye level pitches out of the park was named Jim Edmonds. That one Ryan popped up yesterday was just awful. I take potty breaks when he bats. Same thing with Yadi and a man on first with one out. Ouch. GIDP.
You can't seriously be [expletive] about Brendan Ryan because of 1 bad pitch last night! He hit the ball well, played impeccable D and was all around on top of things.
I think he's [expletive] about Brendan Ryan because of an incredible number of bad ABs this season.

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