Looking forward to your projections. My projections running last week had the Cardinals at about 84 wins on average, but of course there were variances. I don't have the data with me, but I seem to remember a 100 win season in there as their high. I'm pretty sure I remember a low in the high 60's.skmsw wrote:
I have not done any modeling yet, but off the top of my head, I think the risk of the downside of our questionmarks and gambles is a little lower, than the potential of the up-side is high. Everything falling into place and we're a 90-win team. Most things not falling into place and we're a 90-loss team. Things working out the way I expect, we're about a 500 team. Details to follow soon on my blog (and certainly, here on the forum too).
I have no doubt this team could lose 90+ games. I also have no doubt this team can win 90+ games. The most likely scenario I see is mid 80's, which really puts them in the thick of things for the NL Central and a chance to defend their World Series championship.
There is uncertainty but hope, skepticism along side optimism. We could finish from last to first, nothing is a given. We could collapse, feeding fuel to the fire of those pointing to our tattered World Series flag. We could flourish, and repeat as World Series champions for the first time since the 99 Yanks. That would repair that 2006 flag flying over Busch this year in a second.
As a fan, I'm pretty fired up about this scenario. Really fired up.
