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Re: Cardinals/Marlins Offseason Dance - aka Stanton Thread
Posted: November 7 17, 10:14 am
by MrCrowesGarden
dmarx114 wrote:MrCrowesGarden wrote:Because they will be left behind. Go ahead and link your 3rd order win percentage right now because I know it’s coming. But they are drifting towards mediocrity.
But why is signing top free agents the ultimate answer?
Why haven't the Angels been successful with this approach?
It’s the answer for this team at the moment. Or rather the missing piece. The Angels lack supplemental players. We have those in droves. We lack the rising tide that raises all boats.
Re: Cardinals/Marlins Offseason Dance - aka Stanton Thread
Posted: November 7 17, 10:20 am
by AWvsCBsteeeerike3
Fat Strat wrote:MrCrowesGarden wrote:It doesn't concern you that players don't want to play here so we have to throw more money to sway them?
And we can't do that with Stanton.
A little confused by this statement. You have to throw money at FA's to get them to sign and -- with the possible exception of Heyward (depending on how you do the math) -- there hasn't exactly been a rush of players who have rejected more money from us to play for someone else for less. And while we have a few examples in our past of players taking a little less to come here, the whole "home town discount" thing hasn't been real since the 2000's. And even then it usually didn't work -- see Renteria, Pujols, etc.
Agree with there not being a hometown discount. Disagree that there hasn't been a rush of players not wanting to come here. We're so accustomed to it at this point, we're already making excuses for why Stanton doesn't want to (oh he wants to go play on the west coast, nbd. even though in reality it is becoming an issue)
Re: Cardinals/Marlins Offseason Dance - aka Stanton Thread
Posted: November 7 17, 10:22 am
by cardsfantx
MrCrowesGarden wrote:Fat Strat wrote:MrCrowesGarden wrote:It doesn't concern you that players don't want to play here so we have to throw more money to sway them?
And we can't do that with Stanton.
A little confused by this statement. You have to throw money at FA's to get them to sign and -- with the possible exception of Heyward (depending on how you do the math) -- there hasn't exactly been a rush of players who have rejected more money from us to play for someone else for less. And while we have a few examples in our past of players taking a little less to come here, the whole "home town discount" thing hasn't been real since the 2000's. And even then it usually didn't work -- see Renteria, Pujols, etc.
It was down to us and Toronto for Fowler, and we ALREADY had the top bid for his services. He still wasn’t sure he wanted to play for the Cardinals. They threw on more money (on top of what was already the best offer dollarwise) because of it.
but other have insisted they DO want to come here...david price in recent years.
he told his agent he wanted to play for st louis...went to bed/woke up and went to play in a golf tournament happy because he/his agent last spoke the cards made an offer/was the best one, and he was happy as he said it was his preferred destination.
then the red sox came in afterward and threw and ADDITIONAL 30 mil on top of our offer to convince him to go there.
so the boston freaking red sox (which seems like a preferred destination to me, like CHI, LA, NY), and THEY had to throw more money at price to convince him to go there. (and after he's been there/ with that media...you think he's regretting taking the extra money? i bet you he'd gladly give back the 30 extra million and come play for st louis with the st louis media after what he's gone through the last couple years there)
the whole STL thing is nonsense for the most part...90% of people are just going to go where the money is the best. The other 10% want to go where they grew up/a destination/big media type city, etc...and there's nothing you can do about that 10% of players except throw even more money at them and hope it convinces them.
Re: Cardinals/Marlins Offseason Dance - aka Stanton Thread
Posted: November 7 17, 10:22 am
by dmarx114
MrCrowesGarden wrote:dmarx114 wrote:MrCrowesGarden wrote:Fat Strat wrote:MrCrowesGarden wrote:It doesn't concern you that players don't want to play here so we have to throw more money to sway them?
And we can't do that with Stanton.
A little confused by this statement. You have to throw money at FA's to get them to sign and -- with the possible exception of Heyward (depending on how you do the math) -- there hasn't exactly been a rush of players who have rejected more money from us to play for someone else for less. And while we have a few examples in our past of players taking a little less to come here, the whole "home town discount" thing hasn't been real since the 2000's. And even then it usually didn't work -- see Renteria, Pujols, etc.
It was down to us and Toronto for Fowler, and we ALREADY had the top bid for his services. He still wasn’t sure he wanted to play for the Cardinals. They threw on more money (on top of what was already the best offer dollarwise) because of it.
Really? Where did you hear this?
I will try to find a link but we offered 4/60 and Toronto offered 4/56.
This says Toronto offered 4 for $64mm.
http://www.sportsnet.ca/baseball/mlb/re ... -64m-deal/
Re: Cardinals/Marlins Offseason Dance - aka Stanton Thread
Posted: November 7 17, 10:24 am
by tlombard
MrCrowesGarden wrote:Fat Strat wrote:MrCrowesGarden wrote:It doesn't concern you that players don't want to play here so we have to throw more money to sway them?
And we can't do that with Stanton.
A little confused by this statement. You have to throw money at FA's to get them to sign and -- with the possible exception of Heyward (depending on how you do the math) -- there hasn't exactly been a rush of players who have rejected more money from us to play for someone else for less. And while we have a few examples in our past of players taking a little less to come here, the whole "home town discount" thing hasn't been real since the 2000's. And even then it usually didn't work -- see Renteria, Pujols, etc.
It was down to us and Toronto for Fowler, and we ALREADY had the top bid for his services. He still wasn’t sure he wanted to play for the Cardinals. They threw on more money (on top of what was already the best offer dollarwise) because of it.
It's almost like Fowler and his agent were... negotiating to get the most money they possibly could. What professional athlete has ever done that before?
I don't put much stock in things that were said during negotiations unless the player were to do something like turn down the higher offer to go somewhere else for less. We're invested in baseball emotionally as fans but have to remember at times that the players are also invested in baseball financially and that brings in elements of negotiation that aren't always pretty or even the full truth.
Re: Cardinals/Marlins Offseason Dance - aka Stanton Thread
Posted: November 7 17, 10:25 am
by dmarx114
AWvsCBsteeeerike3 wrote:dmarx114 wrote:AWvsCBsteeeerike3 wrote:Fat Strat wrote:MrCrowesGarden wrote:It's going to come down to Stanton being willing to take a deal to STL IMO. The other most serious suitor is the Giants who don't have the prospects we have to offer. Maybe something will change between now and then, but that's how I see it at this time.
That said, if Stanton isn't willing to waive his NTC, it could be (emphasis on the "could") indicative of a bigger problem with the perception of this organization as it stands today.
I'm still not sure how much prospects have to do with this trade. The cost in dollars is going to have an impact on the cost in players, so a franchise like the Giants might have a weaker player package but a stronger financial package. Forum fans keep saying that money doesn't matter and we can afford it, but that's really easy to say and almost certainly not true. Regardless, that's definitely not how the Cards do things, and that's all that really matters here.
Also, the circumstances are going to play into this a lot when it comes to Stanton waiving/not waiving his NTC. If he wants to go home to California, then it really doesn't say anything about the Cards as a franchise. And choosing the Giants over the Cards based on recent history is hardly a statement on our perception. Both franchises have been really good until recently and are just a few moves away from being really good again.
Personally, I think the Giants have a real advantage over us and there might not be anything that we can do to keep them from Stanton if they choose to go after him and Stanton wants to go there.
I really agree with what MCG said. Let me ask you, at what point do you start worrying about players not wanting to come to StL instead of to the Cubs, or White Sox or (insert team here) when all things else are the same? Because, like I said in a previous post, Heyward flat out chose the Cubs over the Cardinals, Robert flat out chose the White Sox over the Cardinals, there were rumors that Turner wanted to stay in LA instead of entertaining offers from StL, if you add stanton to the list...that's a lot of high profile players refusing to come to StL that they really or at least moderately wanted to sign in the last 3 years? And, I can't really remember it ever happening before. Maybe some situations like Turner's get glossed over, but the Robert and Heyward decisions seemed to be unique at the time and are becoming common place anymore.
Cubs offer was better for Heyward long term (although it may not play out that way).
https://www.vivaelbirdos.com/2016/4/20/ ... uts-salary
Robert took the better offer as well. Speaking of which.....
https://www.vivaelbirdos.com/2017/10/2/ ... t-scouting
You seem to be completely missing my point.
Both the Heyward and Robert offers the Cardinals made were extremely similar to deals they ended up taking with different clubs from what I understand. And, while I can't find a link that the Cardinals offered more than the Sox, I also can't find one that the Sox offered more than the Cards for Robert other than teams just saying so...
Regardless, don't you find it problematic that in the recent past, the Cardinals have had to pay more money to players to convince them to come to St. Louis? They haven't been able to land players by simply offering them market value (heyward, robert), they had to offer them more (Fowler/Leake) to get them to come. With Fowler in particular, it seemed to be a troubling case that went like this:
Cardinals: Here's our offer, it's the best out there.
Fowler: I don't want to play in StL.
Cardinals: Come have a chat with Mike Matheny and John Mozeliak.
Fowler: Okay
**Meets with team**
Fowler: Meh.
Cardinals: Okay, fine. Here's an extra $10Mil
Fowler: Meh, okay.
I guess you could just say that's good negotiating, but given the recent past of also losing guys like Heyward and Robert (ignoring if they would have been good signing or not) to teams with extremely similar offers, doesn't that give people pause.
Now throw on top a guy like Stanton refusing to come to StL, and it's a full blown problem. Rather that problem is the City of Stl, a clubhouse problem, a manager problem, a front office problem, a combinatoni of them all, I don't know. But, I know this isn't something we've seen in the past or can continue to see in the future if they expect to be a successful organization.
The White Sox offered more than the Cards did. Not sure how else I can explain it besides copying the link that proved this.
Re: Cardinals/Marlins Offseason Dance - aka Stanton Thread
Posted: November 7 17, 10:25 am
by MrCrowesGarden
dmarx114 wrote:MrCrowesGarden wrote:dmarx114 wrote:MrCrowesGarden wrote:Fat Strat wrote:MrCrowesGarden wrote:It doesn't concern you that players don't want to play here so we have to throw more money to sway them?
And we can't do that with Stanton.
A little confused by this statement. You have to throw money at FA's to get them to sign and -- with the possible exception of Heyward (depending on how you do the math) -- there hasn't exactly been a rush of players who have rejected more money from us to play for someone else for less. And while we have a few examples in our past of players taking a little less to come here, the whole "home town discount" thing hasn't been real since the 2000's. And even then it usually didn't work -- see Renteria, Pujols, etc.
It was down to us and Toronto for Fowler, and we ALREADY had the top bid for his services. He still wasn’t sure he wanted to play for the Cardinals. They threw on more money (on top of what was already the best offer dollarwise) because of it.
Really? Where did you hear this?
I will try to find a link but we offered 4/60 and Toronto offered 4/56.
This says Toronto offered 4 for $64mm.
http://www.sportsnet.ca/baseball/mlb/re ... -64m-deal/
Ok, thank you. I found something saying the Cardinals offered in the range of 4/60, which maybe it was $64. Regardless, it took basically another year at $16 million to close it. That’s not just a little more.
Re: Cardinals/Marlins Offseason Dance - aka Stanton Thread
Posted: November 7 17, 10:28 am
by MrCrowesGarden
cardsfantx wrote:MrCrowesGarden wrote:Fat Strat wrote:MrCrowesGarden wrote:It doesn't concern you that players don't want to play here so we have to throw more money to sway them?
And we can't do that with Stanton.
A little confused by this statement. You have to throw money at FA's to get them to sign and -- with the possible exception of Heyward (depending on how you do the math) -- there hasn't exactly been a rush of players who have rejected more money from us to play for someone else for less. And while we have a few examples in our past of players taking a little less to come here, the whole "home town discount" thing hasn't been real since the 2000's. And even then it usually didn't work -- see Renteria, Pujols, etc.
It was down to us and Toronto for Fowler, and we ALREADY had the top bid for his services. He still wasn’t sure he wanted to play for the Cardinals. They threw on more money (on top of what was already the best offer dollarwise) because of it.
but other have insisted they DO want to come here...david price in recent years.
he told his agent he wanted to play for st louis...went to bed/woke up and went to play in a golf tournament happy because he/his agent last spoke the cards made an offer/was the best one, and he was happy as he said it was his preferred destination.
then the red sox came in afterward and threw and ADDITIONAL 30 mil on top of our offer to convince him to go there.
so the boston freaking red sox (which seems like a preferred destination to me, like CHI, LA, NY), and THEY had to throw more money at price to convince him to go there. (and after he's been there/ with that media...you think he's regretting taking the extra money? i bet you he'd gladly give back the 30 extra million and come play for st louis with the st louis media after what he's gone through the last couple years there)
the whole STL thing is nonsense for the most part...90% of people are just going to go where the money is the best. The other 10% want to go where they grew up/a destination/big media type city, etc...and there's nothing you can do about that 10% of players except throw even more money at them and hope it convinces them.
The Red Sox also told everybody that’s exactly what they were going to do and they did.
I also doubt Price would change a thing because 30 million dollars.
Re: Cardinals/Marlins Offseason Dance - aka Stanton Thread
Posted: November 7 17, 10:29 am
by dmarx114
MrCrowesGarden wrote:dmarx114 wrote:MrCrowesGarden wrote:dmarx114 wrote:MrCrowesGarden wrote:Fat Strat wrote:MrCrowesGarden wrote:It doesn't concern you that players don't want to play here so we have to throw more money to sway them?
And we can't do that with Stanton.
A little confused by this statement. You have to throw money at FA's to get them to sign and -- with the possible exception of Heyward (depending on how you do the math) -- there hasn't exactly been a rush of players who have rejected more money from us to play for someone else for less. And while we have a few examples in our past of players taking a little less to come here, the whole "home town discount" thing hasn't been real since the 2000's. And even then it usually didn't work -- see Renteria, Pujols, etc.
It was down to us and Toronto for Fowler, and we ALREADY had the top bid for his services. He still wasn’t sure he wanted to play for the Cardinals. They threw on more money (on top of what was already the best offer dollarwise) because of it.
Really? Where did you hear this?
I will try to find a link but we offered 4/60 and Toronto offered 4/56.
This says Toronto offered 4 for $64mm.
http://www.sportsnet.ca/baseball/mlb/re ... -64m-deal/
Ok, thank you. I found something saying the Cardinals offered in the range of 4/60, which maybe it was $64. Regardless, it took basically another year at $16 million to close it. That’s not just a little more.
But how do you know how negotiations went?
How do you know what Fowler was really thinking?
Maybe his agent said whoever offers a 5th year first gets him?
Just seems that jumping to the "free agents don't want to play in STL unless the Cards really blow the field away with an offer" is a major leap of an assumption to make.
Re: Cardinals/Marlins Offseason Dance - aka Stanton Thread
Posted: November 7 17, 10:29 am
by cardsfantx
AWvsCBsteeeerike3 wrote:dmarx114 wrote:AWvsCBsteeeerike3 wrote:Fat Strat wrote:MrCrowesGarden wrote:It's going to come down to Stanton being willing to take a deal to STL IMO. The other most serious suitor is the Giants who don't have the prospects we have to offer. Maybe something will change between now and then, but that's how I see it at this time.
That said, if Stanton isn't willing to waive his NTC, it could be (emphasis on the "could") indicative of a bigger problem with the perception of this organization as it stands today.
I'm still not sure how much prospects have to do with this trade. The cost in dollars is going to have an impact on the cost in players, so a franchise like the Giants might have a weaker player package but a stronger financial package. Forum fans keep saying that money doesn't matter and we can afford it, but that's really easy to say and almost certainly not true. Regardless, that's definitely not how the Cards do things, and that's all that really matters here.
Also, the circumstances are going to play into this a lot when it comes to Stanton waiving/not waiving his NTC. If he wants to go home to California, then it really doesn't say anything about the Cards as a franchise. And choosing the Giants over the Cards based on recent history is hardly a statement on our perception. Both franchises have been really good until recently and are just a few moves away from being really good again.
Personally, I think the Giants have a real advantage over us and there might not be anything that we can do to keep them from Stanton if they choose to go after him and Stanton wants to go there.
I really agree with what MCG said. Let me ask you, at what point do you start worrying about players not wanting to come to StL instead of to the Cubs, or White Sox or (insert team here) when all things else are the same? Because, like I said in a previous post, Heyward flat out chose the Cubs over the Cardinals, Robert flat out chose the White Sox over the Cardinals, there were rumors that Turner wanted to stay in LA instead of entertaining offers from StL, if you add stanton to the list...that's a lot of high profile players refusing to come to StL that they really or at least moderately wanted to sign in the last 3 years? And, I can't really remember it ever happening before. Maybe some situations like Turner's get glossed over, but the Robert and Heyward decisions seemed to be unique at the time and are becoming common place anymore.
Cubs offer was better for Heyward long term (although it may not play out that way).
https://www.vivaelbirdos.com/2016/4/20/ ... uts-salary
Robert took the better offer as well. Speaking of which.....
https://www.vivaelbirdos.com/2017/10/2/ ... t-scouting
You seem to be completely missing my point.
Both the Heyward and Robert offers the Cardinals made were extremely similar to deals they ended up taking with different clubs from what I understand. And, while I can't find a link that the Cardinals offered more than the Sox, I also can't find one that the Sox offered more than the Cards for Robert other than teams just saying so...
Regardless, don't you find it problematic that in the recent past, the Cardinals have had to pay more money to players to convince them to come to St. Louis? They haven't been able to land players by simply offering them market value (heyward, robert), they had to offer them more (Fowler/Leake) to get them to come. With Fowler in particular, it seemed to be a troubling case that went like this:
Cardinals: Here's our offer, it's the best out there.
Fowler: I don't want to play in StL.
Cardinals: Come have a chat with Mike Matheny and John Mozeliak.
Fowler: Okay
**Meets with team**
Fowler: Meh.
Cardinals: Okay, fine. Here's an extra $10Mil
Fowler: Meh, okay.
I guess you could just say that's good negotiating, but given the recent past of also losing guys like Heyward and Robert (ignoring if they would have been good signing or not) to teams with extremely similar offers, doesn't that give people pause.
Now throw on top a guy like Stanton refusing to come to StL, and it's a full blown problem. Rather that problem is the City of Stl, a clubhouse problem, a manager problem, a front office problem, a combinatoni of them all, I don't know. But, I know this isn't something we've seen in the past or can continue to see in the future if they expect to be a successful organization.
if you were rich and young would you want to live in saint louis? it has nothing to do with the FO/coaching.
i love st louis...i was born/grew up/went to college there. didn't leave till i was 24. the cards are obv my favorite team.
but i've been in tx ever since...and it's a HELL of a lot better than st louis. if i were a young professional athlete, i'm going to go to where the weather is warm year round and the girls are pretty. and if you're married, you want to go to a place that's the best place to raise a family, and there's plenty of stuff to do.
in both of those scenarios...st louis is near the bottom of the list! you'd have to pay me a hell of a lot more to go to saint louis to play...and i LOVE the cardinals.
and it has nothing to do with the team/FO/maager/stadium/etc...you transplant the cardinals (with everything they have in place; manager, FO, stadium, etc), and move it to LA, CHI, or NY? It'd be one of the top choices for players, by far.