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Who will win the NLC?
Posted: May 1 07, 10:05 am
by Michael
Well, you now have one month of data...
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Central Division
Team W L WL% GB
Milwkee MIL 16 9 .640 --
Pittsbgh PIT 12 12 .500 3.5
Cincnnti CIN 12 13 .480 4.0
ChicagoC CHC 10 14 .417 5.5
Houston HOU 10 14 .417 5.5
St.Louis STL 10 14 .417 5.5
Posted: May 1 07, 10:11 am
by omaha_red
i voted for the cubs.
Posted: May 1 07, 10:14 am
by Michael
Can you believe we're already 5.5 back? I took the Brewers however I think they will cool off. Here are the BP adjusted standings:
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Team W L RS RA W1 L1 EQR EQRA W2 L2 AEQR AEQRA W3 L3 D1 D2 D3
Cubs 10. 14. 112 91 14.3 9.7 109 90 14.0 10.0 117 93 14.5 9.5 -4.3 -4.0 -4.5
Brewers 16. 9. 117 114 12.8 12.2 124 106 14.2 10.8 125 108 14.2 10.8 3.2 1.8 1.8
Reds 12. 13. 109 109 12.5 12.5 102 95 13.2 11.8 103 101 12.8 12.2 -0.5 -1.2 -0.8
Cardinals 10. 14. 82 111 8.8 15.2 84 94 10.9 13.1 90 96 11.4 12.6 1.2 -0.9 -1.4
Astros 10. 14. 99 104 11.5 12.5 97 104 11.3 12.7 96 106 10.9 13.1 -1.5 -1.3 -0.9
Pirates 12. 12. 86 106 9.8 14.2 82 109 8.9 15.1 89 118 9.0 15.0 2.2 3.1 3.0
Posted: May 1 07, 10:16 am
by greenback44
Assuming our Maker has a book with "true talent" levels in it, I'd guess that book shows the Cardinals as the best team in the NLC. I'd also guess that the difference isn't enough to overcome the 5.5 game head start the Cardinals have given the Brewers down here on Earth.
Posted: May 1 07, 10:19 am
by jim
I think if you told me April 1 that the Brewers would be 5.5 ahead of the Cards and Cubs on May 1, I would have taken the Brewers. That's not even factoring in the Carp factor.
So the Brewers are my choice.
Posted: May 1 07, 10:29 am
by Balltilyafall4
I'm not ready to give up on the boys yet..
If we get a healthy Carp back here in a week or two and Looper continues to pitch like he has, that's a pretty good 1-2..
Bring Mulder back into the fold...ya got a decent rotation..
And this offense is not going to continue to be THIS bad...they aren't great, but they aren't THIS bad
Posted: May 1 07, 10:46 am
by stlmark
I voted for the Brewers. I hope I'm wrong.
Posted: May 1 07, 10:53 am
by ghostrunner
I think we'll eke it out. The hitters are coming around. The pitchers are doing their swoon right now. Things will level off, and if we're close I think Walt will deal for a significant bat come mid-season.
Posted: May 1 07, 10:56 am
by Transmogrified Tiger
Freaking Cubs. Play well enough to be 2 games in front of everybody, and instead find yourselves 5.5 back because you can't win a close game to save your lives. Color me irritated.
Posted: May 1 07, 10:59 am
by PHILLYCARD
Hey, we almost blew a 7 game lead with 2 weeks to play. So I think a 5.5 game lead with over 5 months to go is reasonable for the Brew Crew to blow...