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Anyone follow the tennis tour? (and a confession about predicting matches)
Posted: June 11 26, 5:19 am
by JoshM42
With the baseball season in full swing I know this is a long shot, but does anyone here actually follow pro tennis? The ATP/WTA seasons are a grind and the depth right now is wild.
I got a bit obsessed over the winter and ended up building a little spreadsheet for tennis prediction — serve hold %, surface splits, recent form, head-to-heads — basically trying to do for tennis what we all do with baseball stats. The humbling part: tennis has so much match-to-match variance that a halfway-decent model barely edges out just picking the higher-ranked player. Sound familiar to anyone who's tried to predict a five-game Cards skid?
Anyway, curious if there are any tennis sickos lurking in the Other Sports board, or if it's strictly Blues/Battlehawks/golf around here. Clay season's coming up and I need someone to talk shop with.
Re: Anyone follow the tennis tour? (and a confession about predicting matches)
Posted: June 11 26, 6:19 am
by CardsofSTL
I think they use soft green balls in tennis. Otherwise I am lost.
Re: Anyone follow the tennis tour? (and a confession about predicting matches)
Posted: June 11 26, 6:43 am
by Donnie Ebert
Sorry, mostly baseball sickos here.
Re: Anyone follow the tennis tour? (and a confession about predicting matches)
Posted: June 15 26, 8:17 am
by JoshM42
Following up on my own thread since the off-season's dragging on — I finally put the model somewhere others can actually try it: it's
online here, with the surface-adjusted win probabilities I was rambling about. Still very much a hobby project, but it's been fun pointing baseball-style number-crunching at the tennis tour. Anyone else scratch the stats itch in the off-season?
Re: Anyone follow the tennis tour? (and a confession about predicting matches)
Posted: June 15 26, 9:24 am
by GeddyWrox
I used to follow tennis pretty closely back in the days of Sampras, Agassi, Seles, Sabatini, etc. Even up into the early days of the Williams sisters. Haven't watched in probably 20 years.
Re: Anyone follow the tennis tour? (and a confession about predicting matches)
Posted: June 15 26, 12:59 pm
by CardsofSTL
GeddyWrox wrote: ↑June 15 26, 9:24 am
I used to follow tennis pretty closely back in the days of Sampras, Agassi, Seles, Sabatini, etc. Even up into the early days of the Williams sisters. Haven't watched in probably 20 years.
soft green balls
Re: Anyone follow the tennis tour? (and a confession about predicting matches)
Posted: June 15 26, 1:33 pm
by GeddyWrox
CardsofSTL wrote: ↑June 15 26, 12:59 pm
GeddyWrox wrote: ↑June 15 26, 9:24 am
I used to follow tennis pretty closely back in the days of Sampras, Agassi, Seles, Sabatini, etc. Even up into the early days of the Williams sisters. Haven't watched in probably 20 years.
soft green balls
Is that hot?? I don't know. LOL
Re: Anyone follow the tennis tour? (and a confession about predicting matches)
Posted: June 15 26, 1:58 pm
by CardsofSTL
GeddyWrox wrote: ↑June 15 26, 1:33 pm
CardsofSTL wrote: ↑June 15 26, 12:59 pm
GeddyWrox wrote: ↑June 15 26, 9:24 am
I used to follow tennis pretty closely back in the days of Sampras, Agassi, Seles, Sabatini, etc. Even up into the early days of the Williams sisters. Haven't watched in probably 20 years.
soft green balls
Is that hot?? I don't know. LOL
To each their own.